Early Look
Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Futures | Up/Down | % | Last |
Dow | -316.00 | 0.61% | 51,817 |
S&P 500 | -6.25 | 0.08% | 7,568 |
Nasdaq | 107.50 | 0.38% | 28,234 |
U.S. futures are mixed as Dow futures tumble following mixed earnings/guidance results from Apple (AAPL) overnight, sending shares down roughly 4% as the company warned that rising memory costs would squeeze gross margins. Meanwhile the tech heavy Nasdaq looks to rebound after tumbling over 1% Monday and over 5% in October led by a further pullback in semi chip and AI names. Attention turns to politics this morning (in addition to earnings) as prediction market odds of Democrats sweeping midterms House and Senate rise above 75% on Election Day. The contract for a split Congress with a Republican Senate and Democratic House fell to 20%, while a Republican sweep stood at 6%. While politics is in focus there are a few economic data points today including monthly JOLTs job opening data and Factory orders, as well as another barrage of corporate earnings.
In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index decline d-208 points to 63,081, the Shanghai Index fell -29 points to 3,608, and the Hang Seng Index rose 132 points to 23,535. In Europe, the German DAX is…while the FTSE 100. Oil prices rebound 1.75% to $98.16 per barrel for WTI as an Iranian official said Tehran and Washington remained far from a deal to end the war and the US struck Iran's Qeshm Island according to reports. Both Brent and WTI had dropped more than 7% on Monday as talks between Iranian and Qatari officials lifted hopes for an end to the US-Israeli war with Iran.
The S&P 500 ended lower on Monday as oil prices tumbled on optimism about a potential US-Iran peace agreement, while Apple shares dipped ahead of the iPhone maker's quarterly report and investors awaited Tuesday's US midterm elections. Seven of the 11 S&P 500 sector indexes rose, led by consumer discretionary (XLY) up 2.25%, followed by a 1.83% gain in materials (XLB) while the energy index (XLE) fell 4%, followed by Technology (XLK) down nearly -3%. Longer-dated US Treasury yields moved lower and Brent crude/WTI prices fell over 7% as Iran indicated it was open to peace talks after eight months of war in the Middle East that have kept energy prices elevated and stoked inflation.
The Dow finished higher on Monday, and early in the session, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained on the first day of trading in November. In October, the Nasdaq fell 5.3% for the month following a selloff on Friday related to worries that massive spending on AI infrastructure is outpacing near-term cash generation.
Market Closing Prices Yesterday
Economic Calendar for Today
Earnings Calendar:
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
Nymex | 1.76 | 98.22 |
Brent | 1.54 | 106.31 |
Gold | -52.80 | 3,916.80 |
EUR/USD | -0.0011 | 1.1176 |
JPY/USD | 0.43 | 158.28 |
10-Year Note | +0.00 | 4.92% |
Sector News Breakdown
Consumer
Energy
Financials
Healthcare
Industrials and Materials
Technology, Media & Telecom
Mid-Morning Look
Tuesday, November 03, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | -293.10 | 0.56% | 51,690 |
S&P 500 | 27.55 | 0.37% | 7,568 |
Nasdaq | 203.92 | 0.81% | 25,368 |
Russell 2000 | 14.03 | 0.50% | 2,819 |
U.S. stocks open mixed and largely confirm the overnight split from the heavy slate of mega-cap tech earnings, with the Dow falling behind weakness in Apple (AAPL) post earnings/commentary about costs and margins, while the S&P 500 adds small gains and the Nasdaq outperforms early after tumbling 1% on Monday on more semi/AI related stock weakness. Apple (AAPL) shares pare their premarket slide, but still down after mixed December-quarter guidance and warned that rising memory costs would squeeze gross margins. Technology (XLK) leads the tape at +1% after falling about -3% Monday, followed by Industrials (XLI), Health Care (XLV) and Communication Services, while Consumer Staples (XLP) lags at -1.65%, pulling back from all-time highs alongside Materials (XLB) and Energy (XLE). The 10-year Treasury yield is back up to 4.93% after slipping overnight, the 30-year adds 3.8 basis points to 5.307%, the dollar index is little changed at 101.79, gold has bounced off its premarket lows but still down.
Oil prices have sharply reversed their overnight spike, with Brent down $1.39 to $103.38 a barrel and WTI off $0.61 to $95.85, giving back most of the early gains tied to the U.S. strike on Iran's Qeshm Island after headlines crossed that Washington has approved a draft memorandum of understanding and that mediators have briefed Saudi Arabia and the UAE, who have signed off on it, fueling hopes of a near-term de-escalation; Energy (XLE) is accordingly among today's weakest sectors.
Note the Nasdaq-100 closed more than 10% below its all-time closing high on Monday, confirming that the tech-heavy index has entered a correction as investors grow wary of Big Tech's soaring AI spending and little evidence of adequate returns. Chip stocks were among top gainers, bouncing back after the SOX fell well below its 200dma technical support Monday ahead of AMD results tonight.
Economic Data
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | -0.71 | 95.75 |
Brent | -1.39 | 103.38 |
Gold | -23.50 | 3,946.10 |
EUR/USD | -0.0009 | 1.1182 |
JPY/USD | 0.66 | 158.51 |
10-Year Note | 0.06 | 4.954% |
Sector Movers Today
Stock GAINERS
Stock LAGGARDS
Closing Recap
Tuesday, November 03, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | -197.83 | 0.38% | 51,786 |
S&P 500 | 27.56 | 0.37% | 7,568 |
Nasdaq | 207.65 | 0.83% | 25,372 |
Russell 2000 | 6.60 | 0.24% | 2,812 |
U.S. stocks finished mostly higher as the tech heavy Nasdaq recouped some its prior day losses, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average was dragged lower by Apple (AAPL) shares after earnings beat, but warned that rising memory costs would squeeze gross margins. Stocks slipped late in the day while the CBOE Volatility index (VIX) stayed above the 20 level throughout the trading session ahead of another busy evening of earnings highlighted by semiconductor giant AMD, and midterm elections on Tuesday where prediction markets pushed the odds of a Democratic sweep of Congress above 75% early Tuesday, as voters head to the polls. Bothe the Nasdaq and S&P 500 remain not far off all-time highs, thanks in large part to outperformance in sectors such as Consumer Staples (XLP), Energy (XLE), Healthcare (XLV) and Materials (XLB) this year, while tech (XLK) remains +22% this year, but fell over 6% in October. It appears the last few weeks has been more of a rotation out of crowded AI, not a broken tape with the NDX in its third correction of the year (still +11% YTD), SOX gave back ~12% in three days into today, and beats are getting sold (see AAPL). The market quit paying for the story and wants cash flow now while tech credit spreads have continued to widen. In Central bank action, the RBA raised cash rate target 25bps to 4.85% as expected; policy decision was by majority, 6 voted for hike, 3 voted for unchanged; inflation remains elevated and recent data indicate that it is broadly based; board will continue to do what it considers necessary to bring inflation sustainably back to target. Meanwhile the Bank of England (BoE) this week is expected to raise rates by 25 bps. Lots of hopes in tech on AMD tonight to revive the AI trade which has been lagging for weeks. As of this morning, of 337 S&P 500 companies reporting thus far vs 336 LY (per Reuters), we have seen an 83% beat vs 85% LY with the avg beat 25% vs 22% LY, avg miss -11% vs -12% LY and avg yr/yr earnings growth 31% vs 16% LY.
Economic Data
Commodities, Currencies & Treasuries
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | -0.37 | 96.09 |
Brent | -1.17 | 103.60 |
Gold | -29.20 | 3,940.40 |
EUR/USD | 0.0007 | 1.1197 |
JPY/USD | 0.85 | 158.70 |
10-Year Note | 0.058 | 4.951% |
Sector News Breakdown
Retail, Consumer Staples & Restaurants:
Energy
Financials
REITs:
Biotech & Pharma:
Healthcare Services & MedTech movers:
Industrials & Materials
Materials, Metals & Mining
Media & Telecom
Hardware & Software movers:
AI & Semiconductors:
Not offered or endorsed by Regal Securities
Street Recommendations
Tuesday, November 3, 2026
BARCLAYS
BMO CAPITAL
BOFA
BTIG
CANACCORD
CANTOR FITZGERALD
CITI
DA DAVIDSON
GOLDMAN SACHS
HSBC
JEFFERIES
JPMORGAN
LADENBURG
MIZUHO
MORGAN STANLEY
PIPER SANDLER
RAYMOND JAMES
RBC CAPITAL
ROSENBLATT
SUSQUEHANNA
TD COWEN
UBS
WELLS FARGO
Rating abbreviations…
***OP = Outperform
***SP = Sector Perform
***UP = Underperform
***OW = Overweight
***EW = Equal-weight
***UW = Underweight
***Report powered by thefly.com***
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Monday November 2nd
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