Early Look
Friday, May 15, 2026
Futures | Up/Down | % | Last |
Dow | -259.00 | 0.52% | 49,895 |
S&P 500 | -66.50 | 0.88% | 7,459 |
Nasdaq | -389.50 | 1.31% | 29,298 |
Following a jump in Treasury yields, a spike in oil prices and a sell-off in Asian markets on inflation fears, U.S. futures are looking lower on this final day of the trading week, but still on track for a 7th straight week of gains. Global stock markets had earlier appeared to shake off inflation concerns tied to the Iran conflict, with enthusiasm around artificial intelligence powering a rally and keeping major indexes on track for weekly gains. But inflation fears arise overnight in Japan with “hotter” PPI data, sending US yields higher, with the benchmark 10-year yield rising over 8 bps to 4.541%, its highest level since early June 2025 and the 2-yr yield jumps 6.6 bps to 4.058%. Gold and silver prices tumble 2.6% and 7% respectively while oil prices jump over 3.5% as the Strait of Hormuz remained closed, heightening concerns over global energy supplies. The odds of the U.S. Federal Reserve hiking interest rates by 25 basis points in December have more than doubled over the past week to about 40%, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool after hotter CPI, PPI readings. The pullback in global stock markets comes a day after the Dow reclaimed 50,000 and the S&P 500 (SPX) topped 7,500 for the first time, while the tech heavy Nasdaq outperformed them both in another strong finish for stocks on Thursday, with new record highs attained again on surging AI investment demand by Wall Street investors. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index tumbled -1,244 points or 2% to 61,409, the Shanghai Index fell 42 points or 1% to 4,135, the Hang Seng Index dropped -426 points to 25,962 and the South Korean Kospi slumps more than 6.5%. In Europe, the German DAX is down -378 points to 24,077, while the FTSE 100 is down -144 points to 10,228. Investors also closely watched the U.S.-China summit, which wrapped up on Friday with no major breakthrough. The yen was on the weaker side of 158 per dollar and the euro fell to a one-month low of $1.1632 and was set to lose more than 1% this week. Sterling touched its weakest in five weeks against the dollar, dropping to 1.3345.
Market Closing Prices Yesterday
Economic Calendar for Today
Earnings Calendar:
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
Nymex | 3.69 | 104.86 |
Brent | 3.21 | 108.93 |
Gold | -120.60 | 4,564.70 |
EUR/USD | -0.0033 | 1.1635 |
JPY/USD | 0.11 | 158.46 |
10-Year Note | +0.081 | 4.54% |
World News
Sector News Breakdown
Consumer
Energy, Industrials and Materials
Financials
Healthcare
Technology, Media & Telecom
Mid-Morning Look
Thursday, May 14, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | 196.94 | 0405% | 49,890 |
S&P 500 | 37.31 | 0.50% | 7,481 |
Nasdaq | 157.95 | 0.60% | 26,560 |
Russell 2000 | 8.95 | 0.31% | 2,852 |
Coming off new record highs for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq on Wednesday, despite another negative inflation report as PPI prices jumped notably in April, U.S. stocks continue their upward march led by another round of positive AI related headlines and optimism on China/U.S. Trump/Xi meeting taking place today and tomorrow in Beijing. The S&P 500 jumps another +0.5% approaching 7,500 for the first time and the Nasdaq up over +0.6% as overnight, Reuters reported citing sources that the U.S. has cleared about 10 Chinese firms to buy NVDA’s second-most powerful AI chip, the H200. Meanwhile, CSCO shares soared 15% after saying they would cut nearly 4,000 jobs as part of a restructuring and raised its annual revenue forecast after a surge in hyperscaler orders. Also helping the AI story, chip company Cerebras (CBRS) priced its 30M share IPO (up from 28M shares), at $185, well above the latest range of $150-$160 and up from the initial $115-$125 range showing the increased appetite for AI related stock plays. Treasuries advance, pushing US 10-year yields lower, the dollar is flat along with oil and metals. Nothing particularly meaningful out of the Trump-Xi summit thus far as expectations continue to revolve around an extension of the fragile trade truce, China purchases of aircraft, soybeans and energy. Some potential for a loosening of export restrictions on rare earths and advanced chips, though neither side expected to give any meaningful ground on their key points of leverage. While biggest positive from a market perspective would be China agreeing to help reopen Strait of Hormuz, that is seen as a longshot. The momentum in tech remains non-stop buying as @KobeissiLetter notes on X, “S&P 500 futures surge to a fresh record high, now on track for the 7th-straight weekly gain. The S&P 500 is nearing a gain of +$11 trillion in market cap in 7 weeks.”
Economic Data
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | 0.07 | 101.09 |
Brent | -0.11 | 105.52 |
Gold | -2.60 | 4,704.40 |
EUR/USD | -0.0017 | 1.1693 |
JPY/USD | 0.05 | 157.90 |
10-Year Note | -0.03 | 4.449% |
Sector Movers Today
Stock GAINERS
Stock LAGGARDS
IPO and Secondary Offerings:
Closing Recap
Thursday, May 14, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | 370.88 | 0.75% | 50,064 |
S&P 500 | 57.16 | 0.77% | 7,501 |
Nasdaq | 232.88 | 0.88% | 26,635 |
Russell 2000 | 19.16 | 0.67% | 2,863 |
The S&P 500 index (SPX) hits 7,500 for the first time and the Dow tops 50,000 as U.S. stocks continue to rally on FOMO, with investors chasing tech shares, semiconductor shares, data centers, ai infrastructure names, etc. on the daily, as the QQQ is now up 17.5% YTD and 8% this month, while the S&P is up roughly 10% YTD in what has been one of the greatest 7 week stretches in market history. The Philly semiconductor index (SOX) rises again, up 15% this month and 71% YTD with NVDA hitting new all time highs on reports some of their graphics cards are now being allowed to being sold in China (Reuters reported overnight). Today’s focus was the IPO market as semi chipmaker Cerebras (CBRS) opened about 90% higher ($350) in its US market debut after pricing 30M shares at $185, well above the high end of its $150-$160 range showing the insatiable demand for AI companies. Just not normal times, that’s for sure, as the QQQ is +30% in the last 32 days ($555.60 low on March 30 to above $722 today) while SMH has gone from $358 to $578 since 4/1, astounding. Economic data showed concerns of rising inflation (CPI, PPI), raising prospects that the Fed’s next rate move could be a hike vs. a cut – but markets remain unphased as the Technology (XLK) sector in S&P now up 25% YTD, with the next best sectors Materials +14% YTD and Industrials +12.5% with no others up double digit %.
In sector movers: Trucking stocks were mixed with freight brokers (CHRW, LSTR, RXO) weaker after the US Supreme Court has ruled 9-0 that freight brokers can be held LIABLE if they negligently hire unsafe trucking companies — including those with illegal alien and foreign drivers who violate CDL rules and cause accidents. At the same time, shares of truckload carriers (ARCB, JBHT, KNX, WERN, ODFL) was big gains after stronger truckload spot rates. Crypto stocks (COIN, CRCL, MSTR, etc.) were strong after Clarity Act bill advanced 15 to 9. Drone and space names saw strength behind ONDS earnings with RDW, UMAC, RCAT, DPRO shares rising.
News coming out of the President Trump/Xi summit showed, President Trump says China's President Xi told him that China will not provide military equipment to Iran and expressed support for a peace deal. Trump also says that President Xi has offered to mediate tensions in an effort to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump said China agreed to buy 200 planes from Boeing in a multibillion-dollar deal that would mark the nation’s first purchase of US-made commercial jets in nearly a decade.
In sentiment data: This week’s NAAIM Exposure Index slumped to 77.34 from last week's 96.67 - the 10-29-25 Reading of 100.83 is the 52 week hi - 2025 trough from 4-16-25 of 35.16 - Last Quarter Average (Q1) was 82.00 (down from 92.26 in Q4). The bull-bear spread in the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) weekly survey was +2.7% vs +5.3% last week. Bulls rose to 39.3% from 38.3%, Neutrals fall to 24.1% from 28.7%, Bears rise to 36.6% from 33%.
Economic Data
Commodities, Currencies & Treasuries
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | 0.15 | 101.17 |
Brent | 0.09 | 105.72 |
Gold | -21.40 | 4,685.30 |
EUR/USD | -0.0017 | 1.1693 |
JPY/USD | 0.05 | 157.90 |
10-Year Note | -0.03 | 4.449% |
Sector News Breakdown
Retail, Consumer Staples & Restaurants:
Energy
Financials
Biotech & Pharma:
Healthcare Services & MedTech movers:
Industrials & Materials
AI, Internet, Media & Telecom
Hardware & Software movers:
Semiconductors:
Not offered or endorsed by Regal Securities
Street Recommendations
Thursday, May 14, 2026
BARCLAYS
BOFA
BTIG
CANACCORD
CITI
DZ BANK
EVERCORE ISI
GOLDMAN SACHS
HSBC
JEFFERIES
JPMORGAN
KEYBANC
MIZUHO
MORGAN STANLEY
NEEDHAM
OPPENHEIMER
PIPER SANDLER
RBC CAPITAL
SCOTIABANK
TD COWEN
UBS
WEDBUSH
WELLS FARGO
Rating abbreviations…
***OP = Outperform
***SP = Sector Perform
***UP = Underperform
***OW = Overweight
***EW = Equal-weight
***UW = Underweight
***Report powered by thefly.com***
What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar
Monday May 11th
Economic Calendar:
Earnings Calendar:
Other Key Events:
Tuesday May 12th
Economic Calendar:
Earnings Calendar:
Other Key Events:
Wednesday May 13th
Economic Calendar:
Earnings Calendar:
Other Key Events:
Thursday May 14th
Economic Calendar:
Earnings Calendar:
Other Key Events:
Friday May 15th
Economic Calendar:
Earnings Calendar:
.