Closing Recap
Wednesday, September 09, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | -404.99 | 0.77% | 52,381 |
S&P 500 | -37.03 | 0.48% | 7,636 |
Nasdaq | -168.07 | 0.64% | 26,253 |
Russell 2000 | -38.98 | 1.32% | 2,921 |
US equity futures slipped overnight following a down day yesterday as investors returning from the holiday weekend were met with inflation uncertainty, rising oil and higher yields. This week’s CPI report certainly could steer markets ahead of next week’s Fed meeting, so expect all eyes on the upcoming data. With inflation and the Fed meeting taking priority in the market, sentiment has shifted lower with today’s Fear & Greed Index at 42 (Fear) versus last week’s 52 (Neutral) and last month’s 59 (Greed). Attention turns to inflation tomorrow morning with the August Producer Price Index data due at 8:30 am et: Estimates are for headline (PPI) headline M/M for August est. +0.4% (prior 0.0%) and Y/Y to rise +5.3% (prior +4.7%). The core PPI data (ex: Food & Energy M/M) for August est. +0.3% (prior +0.2%) and Y/Y for August…est. +4.6% (prior +4.2%). Then we get the Aug CPI data on Friday morning.
Mid-morning action still had stocks in the red with breadth favoring decliners by 16:7 as small caps underperformed with IWM (-0.93%) versus SPY (-0.30%) and QQQ (-0.07%). SPY breadth favored decliners by 19:7 while QQQ breadth favored decliners by 5:2. Sector performance was similarly tilted negative with Energy (+0.63%), Technology (+0.29%) and Communications (-0.04%) outperforming among S&P sector ETFs, while Industrials (-1.01%), Consumer Discretionary (-1.05%) and Consumer Staples (-1.11%) paced the underperformers with just 2 sectors gaining versus 9 declining.
Heading into the final hour of trading, US equities remained in the red. The AAPL event was interesting but not particularly surprising in content, and just enough to push the stock into positive territory. AI once again took center stage initially, with new Apple Intelligence features set to roll out with Siri AI integration across apps and devices as well as a somewhat scary, but allegedly voluntary, conversation recording and recap feature. The new iPhone Duo will carry a price tag of around $2,000 to start and resembles a foldable, mini iPad. Meanwhile, enhancements in iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max and Watches came in the expected areas with improved battery life, a suite of new feature upgrades for the camera, new and more powerful chips, improved noise reduction on AirPods and some step-function gains in health with upgraded heart rate tracking, a readiness metric and a new health age feature.
Commodities
- Gold futures were higher overnight but reversed as yields climbed after the Treasury’s 10-20 year liquidity buyback operation failed to impress investors (some saying the $6B operation was only about half of what investors expected). US 10-year Treasury yields rose to the highest level since November 2023. Following a short move into the red, gold renewed some upside momentum but held closer to flat. December gold settled +$21.70/oz, or +0.49%, at $4,460.70.
- WTI crude futures gained overnight then expanded to the upside on US/Iran conflict escalation. The US destroyed five Iranian crude oil carriers after the IRGC targeted US Navy warships twice in the past two days in failed attempts. Iran later stated if the enemy hits two targets, Iran will strike 20. Other news in the region had Pakistan considering joining the conflict and attacking Houthi rebels in Yemen at Saudi Arabia’s request. Lost in the mix of bullish crude headlines were data indicating China’s annual oil demand is expected to decline for the third consecutive year. October WTI crude futures settled +$3.02/bbl, or +3.25%, at $96.05.
Currencies & Treasuries
- Treasury yields continued to push higher despite the US Treasury announcement today that it is tripling long-term buybacks to $6 billion! That means the US Treasury went from doubling, to "at least doubling," to tripling long-term bond buybacks and yields are still rising. This puts the 10Y Note Yield above 4.85% for the first time since November 2023, up +15 bps from pre-announcement levels.
- The U.S. dollar index (DXY) managed to eke out a small gain, as the Japanese yen strengthened again slightly, up a whopping 5% against the U.S. dollar over the past month to the highest levels since early February. That’s a massive reversal after the yen lost half its value versus the U.S. dollar over the past five years. Early on Wednesday, a dollar bought about 153 yen, about 4% fewer than at the start of the month and 2% fewer than at the start of the year as the Japanese currency strengthened. The currency pair had surged to a four-decade high near 164 in late July.
- The yen's surge is reviving memories of the market-rattling carry-trade unwind of summer 2024. For years, investors have borrowed cheaply in yen and put the money into higher-yielding currencies and riskier assets around the world. A sharp rise could force AI winners in tech to be sold if the yen's rise forces investors to unwind bets.
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | 3.02 | 96.05 |
Brent | 3.29 | 101.21 |
Gold | 21.70 | 4,460.70 |
EUR/USD | 0.0004 | 1.1627 |
JPY/USD | -0.31 | 153.63 |
10-Year Note | 0.028 | 4.832% |
Sector News Breakdown
Retail, Consumer Staples & Restaurants:
- Retail earnings: JILL sees FY26 revenue flat to up 2% y/y and comp sales down 1% to up 1% y/y, above prior view of a 1%-3% decline after better earnings results; in footwear, CAL better Q2 as EPS beat and sales rose 5.6% y/y to $695.5M, beating analyst expectations of $686.7M but guides Q3 GAAP EPS $0.62-$0.70 vs. est. $0.83 and said Famous Footwear sales declined 6.3%, impacted by later Back-to-School and weak lifestyle athletic demand; in jewelry, SIG shares jumped after it posted Q2 EPS beat on in-line sales $1.53B while raises FY27 adjusted EPS view to $10.45-$12.1 from $9.20-$11.0 and reaffirms FY27 revenue view $6.7B-$6.9B, vs. consensus $6.84B while also sees annual same-store sales to remain flat or grow up to 2.5%, compared with prior range of 0.75% decline to 2.5% rise
- Specialty stores: convenience store operator CASY shares fell after Q1 EPS beat was largely driven by stronger-than-expected fuel margins and lower effective tax rate, but comp sales fuel gallons were down -0.3% Y/y (below ests and inside the store, SSS growth was up +3.2% but slightly below expectations of around +3.8%
- Food sector: AVO Q3 adj EPS $0.18 vs. est. $0.12; Q3 revs $450M vs. est. $367.57M; said expects Q4 avocado industry volumes to rise about 10% y/y; pricing in Q4 expected to be about 10% lower y/y due to higher supply; reaffirms H2 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook of $84M-$88M; SFD guided Q3 adj operating loss of -$70M-$90M in its fresh pork segment, compared with a $10M profit a year earlier; guides Q3 adjusted operating income of $115M-$175M, which is down from $310M y/y; SYY reaffirms its FY27 outlook while raising its mid-term growth targets
- Luxury Retail: HSBC downgraded luxury retailers LVMH and Burberry (BURBY) to hold, citing limited visibility into the luxury sector’s second-half outlook. The bank set price targets of €490 for LVMH and 1,200 pence for Burberry while pointing to softer momentum across luxury goods; noted slower than expected performance at Dior alongside the weaker Fashion and Leather Goods division
Homebuilders, Building Products, Home Furnishing:
- Building Product sector: Wells Fargo made several changes today in the sector as they downgraded EXP to Equal Weight from Overweight (tgt to $196 from $231), cut VMC to Underweight from Equal Weight (tgt to $254 from $305) and AMRZ to Equal weight from OW (tgt to $44 from $55) citing an increasingly cautious 2027 outlook due to leaner government spending and higher interest rates. The firms more cautious earnings outlook and valuation multiples reflect concern over state and federal government spending, on top of continued housing weakness. Wells also upgraded MLM to Overweight from Equal Weight (tgt to $609 from $581) citing the company's benefits to 2027 earnings from its recently closed Lhoist North America acquisition, plus pricing catch-up from the Quikrete asset swap and New Frontier acquisition for the upgrade.
Autos, Leisure, Gaming & Lodging:
- Online Travel sector: BKNG shares fell after the company loses fight against an EU antitrust veto of its €1.63 billion ($1.90 billion) ETraveli acquisition three years ago as the Luxembourg-based General Court agrees with EU competition enforcer. ABNB shares also fell as the company is set to face more restrictions as the European Commission proposed rules to help authorities tackle a housing crunch in tourism hotspots. Mizuho also noted today that META’s new Muse AI agent could mark a major product cycle not yet priced into shares. After testing the app, the firm was impressed by its polish, breadth, news-feed integration, actionability, and free tier, and believes strong App Store traction could lift shares. Mizuho also sees potential pressure on GOOGL and renewed OTA disintermediation fears (BKNG, EXPE), though it views ABNB and DASH as relatively more insulated.
- Casinos & Gaming: For online sports books (DKNG, FLUT, SRAD), Citigroup noted for 2026 NFL kick-off Citi considers both the growth expected in the market YoY just +0.3% OSB handle growth YoY (predicted by the AGA), and how scheduling changes will impact that growth in 2H26 (where there will be 16 fewer games YoY) vs Q127 (where there will be 16 more games YoY). The rise in sports betting customer acquisition costs BetMGM have been calling out since the start of 2026, along with concerns over impact of prediction markets.
- Leisure Products sector: Citigroup noted their most recent ORV dealer checks point to modest July/August retail growth for both PII and DOOO, on top of what similar growth reported for Q2, a welcome positive amidst otherwise lackluster demand trends within big-ticket discretionary. Overall, Citi feels better about the PII story than it has in some time, with solid retail momentum bolstered by strong share and an excellent inventory positioning.
- Lodging sector: TH shares fell after 14M share Spot Secondary priced at $18.50. Deutsche Bank noted in comment today that August was not a kind month for the vast majority of Lodging and Leisure stocks. Whether due to concerns about rising oil prices, interest rates, unwinding of pair trades, or company-specific factors, there were few Bright spots. The firm identified three Buy-rated stocks that, in its view, deserve a second look as some investors begin to sift through the group and look for opportunities. Those stocks are: TNL, RHP and HST
Energy, Industrials and Materials
- Energy stocks among the best performers in the S&P 500 index today, as a surge in oil prices fuels concerns about deepening tensions in the Middle East. Brent crude futures climbed above $100 per barrel for the first time since July. Shares of OXY, APA, COP, CVX, XOM and others bounced.
- Steel sector: JP Morgan noted its Steel coverage is 6% off August's peak, diverging from HRC /XME +3%/ +7% as the since-failed Canadian trade deal raised questions over the sector's protectionist premium. While Section 232 (S232) tariffs appear back on the negotiating table, JPMC suspects any reprieve will be post-midterms and geared towards tariff-rate quotas (TRQs), noting Steel tariffs have bipartisan support and are working as planned — YTD imports -23% Y/Y vs mill utilization +230bps. Overweight-rated NUE and CMC remain JPMC's top picks on relative upside.
- Chemical sector: WLK was downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital and cut tgt to $82 from $96 citing leveled off commodity prices and mortgage rates reaching new highs; DOW shares rallied on reports it is considering plans to exit its $20 billion chemicals partnership with Saudi Aramco, Bloomberg news reported.
- Materials sector: in lithium space, LAC was assumed coverage at Overweight at JP Morgan and raises Lithium price assumptions in its LAC model, lifting long-term earnings power from 2029 onward (post full ramp) and driving a materially higher NAV. Further, recent updates gives the firm more confidence in Thacker Pass execution. Precious metal prices rose for gold, silver and others, helping boost miners this morning with shares of AEM, AG, B, CDE, HL, NEM, WPM rising.
Banks, Brokers, Asset Managers:
- FinTech sector: CHYM announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Stride Bank, N.A. for $590M in cash; raises Q3 revenue view to $705M from $680M-$690M vs. consensus $686.6M and boosts Q3 adjusted EBITDA view to $117M-$120M from $105M-$110M.
- Bank sector: TBBK shares plunged; KBW Inc. noted it sees CHYM’s acquisition of Stride Bank a significant potential impact to TBBK as it seems to open the door for Chime to bring its entire banking product suite in house and away from TBBK given Stride’s role as a Chime partner. We estimate an 8-14% revenue impact if Chime exited its TBBK partnership.
Biotech & Pharma:
- The FDA said Michael Davis will be director of the Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, and Karim Mikhail will be director of the Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research. The FDA also appointed Jared Seehafer as its first deputy commissioner for technology and artificial intelligence.
- EVMN shares slid after the drug maker said it would not advance its experimental skin disease drug after it failed to meet the main goal in a mid-stage trial; its drug, EVO756, did not show a meaningful percent change in a scale that measures the severity of eczema when tested in patients with AD.
SGMT upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays and raise tgt to $18 from $8 as it increased credit to acne and update its estimates after model review. The firm thinks at an EV of ~$400M (~$750M cap 9/8, ~$250M cash exiting Q2) SGMT shares underprice the opportunity for defanistat as a safe oral in acne where it sees a large market. - SMMT was upgraded from Hold to Buy at Jefferies and raised tgt to $25 from $15 ahead of H3 PFS data late '26as the firm thinks PFS likely to hit stats barring outlier degradation from China to global trial and most scenarios drive confidence in a downstream OS win.
- TYRA shares tumbled after saying its experimental bladder cancer drug, dabogratinib, at a 60 mg dose shows a 57% three-month complete response rate (compared to recent Piper target of a "70% 3-month CR rate" as the primary "bar for success" and Jefferies had modeled stock reactions ranging from "+20-30% if CR lands in the 70–79% range" to "–30% if 3mo CR <70%".)
Healthcare Services & MedTech movers:
- Life Science tools sector: CAI, HTFL, TEM, TWST all initiated with a Neutral; GRAL initiate with a Buy –and assume coverage of DHR, GH, ILMN, NTRA, RGEN, TMO, WAT, WST, VCYT at Buy at UBS saying they are increasingly constructive view on the group and views Life Science Tools as a GDP+2 end market over the long term, reflecting the sector's historical tendency to outgrow global economic activity. After many years of post-Covid boom distortions, analysts believe the Life-sciences Tools space is well on its way back to normalized, attractive growth patterns.
Internet, Media & Telecom
- AI sector: GOOGL said to invest at least EU13B in AI infrastructure in Finland over the next two years, Also, lots of AI concerns this morning: Axios reported Anthropic AI researcher Jacob Coxon wrote on X, after resigning Tuesday to sound the alarm: "The people building AI earnestly believe that it could kill us all by the end of the decade. This is not a marketing stunt. If anything, many executives and senior researchers will couch their phrasing in the press to sound sensible - but I hear the same people express fear privately. No other human activity poses this level of danger." Separately, AI agents unleashed by OpenAI used more than 10 previously undisclosed websites for unsanctioned communications earlier this year, according to independent investigators/data reviewed by Reuters, showing that the agents’ rogue activity was wider than previously disclosed.
- Apple (AAPL) today introduced the highly anticipated iPhone Duo, the company's first foldable smartphone starting at $1,999 and will be available on Oct. 23. The device introduces the largest physical change to Apple's flagship device since the phone's launch in 2007. When closed, the device is about the size of a passport but open, the display is 7.6 inches, 80% larger than an iPhone 18 Pro. It looks like a small iPad. Apple says it is also the thinnest iPhone yet. Touch ID is also back, replacing Face ID, to make it possible for the user to unlock the device whether opened or closed. The iPhone Duo will use Apple's new A20 Pro chip that was announced earlier, along with a C2 modem made by Apple.
- Internet sector: AMZN shares fell after the company launched its first-ever sterling bond sale, a four-part offering seeking at least £3 billion. META shares rose after the company rolled out Muse AI agent that can access other apps to send emails, and make payments. Meta chief Ai officer on X said, “"the early usage on muse has blown way past our projections. muse’s users today are using 10x more than our testing cohorts.”
- Telecom & Media sector: FOXA faces a broadened U.S. Justice Department antitrust inquiry into its $22 billion proposed acquisition of streaming platform ROKU, according to people familiar with the matter, Semafor reported overnight https://tinyurl.com/2res6czp ; in cable space, CMCSA shares fell after CFO said at Goldman Sachs conference that Q3 Broadband subscriber losses are unlikely to improve YoY due to pressure from factors including rational fiber pricing.
Hardware & Software movers:
- Hardware & Components: DELL hitting all-time highs today as Evercore analyst lays out map to $1,000 per share saying Dell is on a strong growth trajectory driven by Ai adoption and de-commoditization in IT infrastructure. The anticipated rise in neocloud deployments and enterprise Ai adoption presents compelling opportunities for Dell to expand revenue and margins.
- Software sector: TTAN shares tumbled after reported its thinnest beat as a public company (2.7% versus 3.7%-5.7%) and guided ahead by less than the beat; Q2 results and outlook as mixed, highlighted by lower sub rev growth and impact to usage rev from softness in GTV. BRZE shares declined on results as well as posted Q2 top and bottom line beats, while Gross margin improved even as services scaled, but backlog growth decelerated and missed expectations and guides Q3 EPS $0.13-$0.14 vs. est. $0.16 and revs $229M-$230M vs. consensus $227.8M.
- Semiconductors sector: ADI said it will acquire privately held Alif Semiconductor for $1.35 billion in cash, the companies said on Wednesday, expanding ADI's on-device capabilities as AI applications increasingly move into physical systems. Analog semi sector (ADI, ON, MCHP, NXPI, TXN) positive mention at Cantor saying they are becoming increasingly positive on the Analog space, as cyclical trends have strengthened over the past weeks. Parallels are being drawn to the memory industry (only 12mos later), with pricing power, lead-time extensions, and supply constraints only getting worse (now hearing decommits surfacing as well)– Dynamics which are expected to persist throughout CY27