Closing Recap
Wednesday, May 27, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | 182.79 | 0.36% | 50,644 |
S&P 500 | 1.43 | 0.02% | 7,520 |
Nasdaq | 18.55 | 0.07% | 26,674 |
Russell 2000 | -0.57 | 0.02% | 2,919 |
US equity futures overnight added to yesterday’s gains as investors hold onto hope for Iran resolution and the tech sector continues to bounce back from recent declines. Word on a draft deal for an initial MOU between Iran and the US further supported stocks and pressured oil pre-market but the gains in equities did not stick once the market opened and profit-taking became the early theme. After the White House indirectly denied early Iran media reports on the draft MOU, S&P futures headed into negative territory. Still, today’s Fear and Greed Index remained strong at 61/100 (Greed) versus last week’s 60 (Greed) and last month’s 66 (Greed). By mid-morning, market breadth favored advancers by 11:9 as small caps outperformed with IWM (+0.00%) versus SPY (-0.03%) and QQQ (-0.25%). Breadth on SPY favored advancers by 9:7, while breadth on QQQ was neutral. In terms of sector performance, Consumer Discretionary (+1.93%), Consumer Staples (+1.55%) and Communications (+0.93%) were outperformers among S&P sector ETFs, while Utilities (-0.57%), Technology (-0.97%) and Energy (-1.46%) paced the underperformers with 6 sectors gaining versus 5 declining.
In news of note today, per @charliebilello, US home prices gain 0.7% over the past year, marking the slowest growth rate since mid-2023. Perhaps we finally hit prices potential sellers could not resist? On unusual streaks, per @RyanDetrick, if we finish higher today, that will be three consecutive up days in the S&P 500 to start for Kevin Warsh. It would be the longest streak since 1979 and Volcker’s first three days but still short of the record longest up-streak of five for Miller in 1978.
It’s all about the semiconductors (SOX)! @GlobalMktObserv noted on X, “The S&P 500 has gained ~672 points year-to-date in 2026, with semiconductors accounting for a disproportionate share of the advance. The seven largest chipmakers in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, $SOX, excluding Nvidia, have contributed ~289 points, or 43% of the total gain. At the same time, the Magnificent 7 has added just ~160 points, or 24% of the total gain, over the same period. Furthermore, $SOX including Nvidia has contributed ~369 points, or 55% of the total gain, while the remaining Magnificent 6 has added just ~79 points, or 12%. This comes as the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, $SOX, has surged +82% year-to-date, compared to a gain of just +6% for the Magnificent 7 excluding Nvidia.
Goldman Sachs raised its year-end S&P 500 target to 8000 (from 7600), implying 6% upside driven by stronger earnings expectations following a solid Q1. Goldman also raises its EPS forecasts to $340 (+24% year/year) in 2026 and $385 (+13%) in 2027, with companies benefiting from Ai infrastructure investment expected to contribute roughly half of this year's earnings growth. Look for limited multiple expansion, and rates and oil to pose risks to forecasts.
Having never really strayed far from breakeven, US equities entered the final hour with a slight gain in the S&P but a slight decline for the Nasdaq. Absent any significant new revelations in Iran negotiations, all eyes will be on tomorrow’s PCE report and any read-through to Fed rate move expectations. Otherwise, a Summer feel is creeping into the market
Economic Data
- Richmond Fed composite manufacturing index +13 in May vs +3 in April and Richmond Fed manufacturing shipments index +16 in May vs -2 in April. Richmond Fed services revenues index +14 in May vs +9 in April
Commodities
- Gold futures slipped overnight and continued lower into the US equities open as rate-hike fears persist. The daily battle of the headlines between Iran and the US resumed, the Dollar edged slightly higher and yields slipped a touch, but June gold futures didn’t really budge for the remainder of the session and settled -$53.90/oz, or -1.20%, at $4,448.40.
- WTI crude futures slid overnight on headlines out of Iran indicating a draft existed for the initial MOU framework between Iran and the US. Hope immediately rose for a rapid resumption of shipping via the Strait of Hormuz, but response headlines out of the US made things less certain and less clear. Nevertheless, the door remained open for progress and the market celebrated with more selling pressure on oil as the day progressed. The July contract settled -$5.21/bbl, or -5.55%, at $88.68.MOU framework between Iran and the US. Hope immediately rose for a rapid resumption of shipping via the Strait of Hormuz, but response headlines out of the US made things less certain and less clear. Nevertheless, the door remained open for progress and the market celebrated with more selling pressure on oil as the day progressed. The July contract settled -$5.21/bbl, or -5.55%, at $88.68.
Currencies & Treasuries
- U.S. Treasury yields were little changed ahead of tomorrow’s PCE inflation data, holding on to the prior day's declines amid continued hopes that Washington and Iran are moving toward an agreement ending their three-month-old conflict. The U.S. Treasury auctioned $70B in 5-year notes in the afternoon, with investor demand up marginally but in keeping with longer-term trends at 2.34 times the notes on sale. he yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note was last down 1.4 basis points to 4.477% after hitting highs of 4.68% last week.
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | -5.21 | 88.68 |
Brent | -5.29 | 94.29 |
Gold | -53.90 | 4,448.40 |
EUR/USD | -0.0004 | 1.1624 |
JPY/USD | 0.24 | 159.53 |
10-Year Note | -0.006 | 4.484% |
Sector News Breakdown
Retail, Consumer Staples & Restaurants:
- Apparel Retailers: ANF reported mixed Q1 results as EPS $1.47 topped est $1.28 but revs $1.11B just below $1.12B estimate; Sales growth led by Americas up 3% and APAC up 24%, offsetting an EMEA decline of -10%; guides Q2 sales growth 2%-4% and maintain FY sales view 3%-5%; LULU settled its proxy fight with Chip Wilson, giving the founder board seats in exchange for a pledge that he will give the company peace as a new chief executive takes over the helm.
- In Luxury Retail: CPRI posted Q4 EPS $0.22 topping consensus $0.11 on in-line revs $796M while guided FY profit forecast of $2.15 per share, above the $1.83 consensus (and in-line revs $3.53b) and said it plans to recover all tariffs paid under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act and has recorded a refund of $65M.
- In Specialty Retail: BBWI Q1 sales $1.38B topped est. $1.36B on better adj EPS of $0.32 vs. est. $0.29 while maintained full-year forecasts for net sales and adj profit and said Eva Boratto will step down from her role as CFO, with Tom Javitch set to take over as interim CFO, effective June 12. Watch retailer MOV Q1 sales rose 8% y/y to $142.4M vs. est. $135M on higher adj EPS $0.32 (est. $0.08); expects Q2 sales growth to moderate while gross margin rose due to favorable channel/product mix and better cost leverage over higher sales
- Sporting Goods retail: DKS posted Q1 revs $5.17B vs. consensus $5.07B on mostly in-line EPS of $2.90 vs. est. $2.91 and comp sales +6.0% vs. +4.5% y/y; Q1 Operating margin: 8.7% vs. 11.5% y/y; said sees $200M in charges in FY26 from Foot Locker acquisition; backs year EPS and rev outlook.
- Discount/Dollar retailers: DG was downgraded from Buy to Hold at Deutsche bank and cut tgt to $110 from $170 saying they see DG's customer base increasingly challenged, and the K-shaped economy continuing to widen the Gap between the low vs the high end, likely limiting comp sales upside.
- Food Sector: Jefferies was out with an updated assessment of dividend risk across the food space as earnings pressure, soft volumes and reinvestment needs continue to drive vulnerability. They lower their F27 and F28 estimates to reflect softer demand amid consumer pressure and increased margin headwinds from elevated cost inflation that should persist NT. They view CAG and CPB as the most at risk for dividend cuts.
Autos, Leisure, Gaming & Lodging:
- In RV/Towables: WGO was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup and cut tgt to $30 from $46 saying recent recreational vehicle dealer checks indicate a persistently challenged retail environment with no meaningful near-term recovery expected
- In Casino & Gaming: MGM was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan citing stable leisure demand will support improved Las Vegas Strip growth. JPMorgan's more favorable view of MGM reflects its conviction that the company's Las Vegas Strip EBITDA estimates have bottomed (MGM was also upgraded to Buy at Truist following Las Vegas Consumer Perception survey and Strip room rate survey. SRAD was downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan saying they see more compelling near-term upside elsewhere in Gaming coverage.
- In Autos: VRRM shares tumbled as receives termination of agreement notice from CAR saying they are reviewing contractual rights and obligations after termination notice; the co said the termination is expected to reduce 2026 commercial services revenue by $135M-$145M; cuts FY26 adjusted EPS view to $1.19-$1.25 from $1.32-$1.38 and lowers FY26 revenue view to $985M-$995M from $1.020B-$1.030B; cuts FY adj Ebitda as well. OPLN was upgraded to Overweight at JP Morgan saying the company continues to demonstrate remarkable execution in a mixed macro, and JPMC's recent meetings with management suggest room for durable growth for several years, and as such, potential for relative revisions upside to continue.
Energy, Industrials and Transports
- In Refiners: Mizuho upgraded shares of PSX to Outperform from Neutral at Mizuho (tgt to $212 from $170) citing improving refining operations, execution of strategic initiatives, and greater leverage to rising refining and chemicals margins for the upgrade; PARR upgraded to Outperform as well (tgt to $79 from $58) citing the company's strong recent results, a favorable distillate-driven margin backdrop; Mizuho downgraded DINO to Neutral from Outperform (tgt upped to $79 from $67) citing the stock's relative valuation versus peers.
- E&C Sector: DY surges as Q1 adj EPS $4.42 crushed consensus $2.72 and revs rose 56% y/y to $1.96B above consensus $1.67B saying strong demand for fiber infrastructure and data center builds drove revenue growth; guidance also better for EPS and revs $1.94B-$2.01B vs. consensus $1.77B and raised its year outlook.
- Transports: FDX was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan and raise tgt to $460, taking a more positive stance on the shares into the company's fiscal Q4 report on June 23 saying risk/reward is attractive heading into the separation of the freight business on June 1. GXO upgraded to Overweight at Barclays saying its leadership is likely to target a more profitable future leveraging automation and Robotics to achieve best-in-class margins while focusing growth ambitions in the North American market. In shipping, DSX increases all-cash offer to acquire GNK to $24.80 per share.
Financials
- US Banks: JPM CEO Jamie Dimon said today investment Banking in Q2 could be up 10% or more and that equity capital markets will be huge this year as notes trading could be up by 11% in Q2 or could be a bit better (shares fell as Dimon hinted of a possible sizable in next few years) ; BAC CEO said at a conference today expects Q2 trading revs to jump 15% y/y and said net interest income (NII) could hit the upper end of the 6% to 8% range this year. FIBK downgraded to Neutral at Davidson as the CEO transition catalyst has led to an improved operational outlook for the bank but also increased expectations; BANC 3.917M share Block priced at $19.00.
- Canadian Banks: BMO Q2 revenue and adjusted EPS beat analyst expectations (C$3.67/C$9.57B vs. est. C$3.45/C$9.47B) as adj net income for Q2 rose 34% y/y; raised quarterly dividend and agreed to sell Transportation Finance and Vendor Finance businesses; provision for credit losses fell to C$739 mln from C$1,054 mln in the prior year, mainly due to lower provisions in Capital Markets and U.S. Banking. BNS Q2 adjusted EPS C$2.02 vs. C$1.52 last year; Q2 revenue C$9.84B vs. C$9.08B last year; raised quarterly dividend by 4%; provision for credit losses fell yr/yr, mainly due to a lower provision on performing loans, though impaired loan provisions increased; maintains 14%+ ROE target for fiscal 2027.
- Crypto assets have been under pressure with Bitcoin -1.5% at $74,880 and Ethereum -1% at $2,053, which has weighed on shares of COIN, BMNR and other assets. MSTR shares dropped below its 50dma $155.40 and IBIT dropped below its 50dma $42.43 as crypto assets remain under pressure.
- Financial Services: MSCI was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo saying growing demand for data will help support the company's continued index momentum. MSCI shares should outperform peers given its defensibility to AI disruption, underpinned by its proprietary data and network effects. OPEN announced it will be included in the Russell 3000 index.
- REITs: PEB was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Truist citing excellent forward fundamentals; EQR upgraded from Neutral to Buy at Bank America, positive on AVB's and EQR's merger announcement as the firm believes the platform will be stronger once combined. Initial synergies would be primarily driven by expense savings.
Biotech & Pharma:
- APGE announces positive 16-week part B induction dose optimization results from phase 2 apex trial of zumilokibart in moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis; to advance mid-dose zumilokibart to phase 3 trials in Ad in 2h 2026; Zumilokibart shows favorable safety profile consistent with class
- AZN said the FDA is pushing back its decision on whether to approve a new breast-cancer drug in order to review additional data provided by the company; AZN will provided additional analyses requested by the FDA in support of its application for the drug candidate, Camizestrant, after and FDA panel voted against its late last month.
- BNTX was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS and raise tgt to $135 from $117 citing increased conviction and market opportunity for the company's oncology pipeline for the upgrade. UBS sees the PD-(L)1xVEGF bispecific class as a transformative modality in solid tumors and notes BioNTech has near-term clinical catalysts.
- TGTX Phase 3 trial met its primary endpoint, demonstrating bioequivalent drug exposure between the currently approved BRIUMVI Day 1 and Day 15 initiation dosing and a new single infusion on Day 1 only; safety and tolerability of the consolidated first infusion were consistent with the established BRIUMVI safety profile.
- VKTX assumed Buy and $83 tgt (up from $75 at Truist as the broker views VKTX as a differentiated player in a heavily saturated & highly competitive obesity landscape, tackling two key challenges Associated with contemporary and newer Therapies: time to efficacy - reaching 14.7% in 13 weeks, without plateau - and long-term adherence - leveraging both SC & oral formulations for continuity of Care, versatile dosing regimens.
Healthcare Services & MedTech movers:
- Insulin sector: PODD shares fell following a voluntary global Medical Device Correction (MDC) impacting Omnipod 5/DASH/Eros Pods due to manufacturing issues potentially resulting in insulin under-delivery; with ~8.5% of 2025 global Omnipod Pod production impacted and 24 serious adverse events, but no deaths.
- Medical Equipment: ICUI was upgraded from Hold to Buy at Needham as expects the company to benefit from an Iv system replacement Cycle as well as its competitors' challenges. While oil prices represent a risk, ICUI's exposure is limited, and management expects favorable tariff changes and efficiencies to offset the impact.
- Medtech: BSX shares tumbled after guidance at Bernstein conference as management reiterated their revised full-year organic growth guidance of 6.5% to 8%. Additionally, management set second-quarter growth guidance at 5% to 7% and CEO said the company has been seeing a decline in usage of its heart disease device, Watchman, for standalone procedures. Goldman Sachs lowered price tgts for TDOC, TNDM, ISRG, COO saying MedTech has experienced one of its weakest periods in 15-20 years across performance, valuation, and outlook revisions, pressured by sector rotation, slower growth, reimbursement and competitive risks, and aging investment narratives.
Aerospace & Defense
- Space stocks saw early strength with shares of LUNR rebounding sharply after sliding Tuesday after NASA announced new lunar exploration contract awards that did not include the company; overall space companies strong today with shares of PL, RKLB, VOYG, YSS among movers. FLY announced a 4M share offering and selling securityholders offer 8M shares. The announcement comes after shares jumped Tuesday after NASA said Firefly Aerospace will deliver the first drones to the lunar surface.
- Yesterday, NASA held its Moon Base press conference and provided updates on several key awards since its March 2026 Ignition announcement. FLY emerged as a notable winner, as JPL awarded FLY a ~$75M subcontract to deliver three to four lunar drones to the Moon's South Pole in support of NASA's MoonFall mission, targeted to launch NET 2028. FLY will use a modified version of its Elytra Dark orbital vehicle, built on the same architecture as its Blue Ghost CLPS missions. For its LTV (Lunar Terrain Vehicle) program, NASA awarded Lunar Outpost and AstroLab, each receiving ~$220M in awards, notably excluding LUNR. Blue Origin was selected to provide lunar cargo transportation services for the build-out of the moon base.
Materials, Metals & Mining
- Rare Earth stocks have taken a breather (CRML, METC, MP, TMC, UAMY, USAR) as the market priced in a “trade truce” and potential easing of export restrictions following the Trump–Xi meeting. While a U.S.-China trade deal remains a key overhang on the sector, we view the likelihood of a long-term, durable agreement as low.
- In Chemicals: WLK was downgraded to Neutral from buy at Citigroup citing further housing recovery delay, less favorable PVC fundamentals, and less compelling operating leverage; while maintain positive view on PE producers DOW, LYB; updating estimates across PE & PVC producers given price normalization from peak and evidence of some supply normalization and demand destruction. Citi generally tempers 2H26 and 2027 expectations on normalizing PE & PVC prices from the Q2 peak. FUL was upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JP Morgan citing valuation for the upgrade. UBS upgraded shares of RPM to Buy from Neutral as they have a more constructive view of RPM's pricing power in the current inflationary cycle and upgrade ECL to Buy from Neutral (tgt to $325 from $293) as expects the shares to re-rate higher as investors see Ecolab's pricing accelerate to recover raw material costs in the second half of 2026.
- Metals & Mining: big declines in silver and gold prices, weighing in turn shares of miners AEM, B, CDE, NEM, PAAS, HL and others amid heavy selling pressure on rising interest rate fears given the increase in inflationary data points 9ahead of the PCE inflation reading tomorrow. The macro backdrop remains pretty challenging for gold and positioning has been pretty short. While yields have come off, they are still comfortably above pre-war levels, physical demand looks soft: India is actively curbing imports.
Technology
- Security Software: ZS reported a solid Q3 with organic ARR growth consistent q/q but the company maintained FY organic ARR guidance despite outperformance and introduced preliminary FY/27 ARR/revenue growth of 16-17%, below expectations; the lower outlook for Q4 and FY27 created some short-term pain and likely reinforce investor concerns around growth. In other security names, Wedbush raised its tgts on PANW to $300 from $225 and CRWD to $700 from $550 saying recent checks in the field reinforced its view that Ai will be the biggest growth catalyst for the Cyber industry in the past 20 years rather than its demise.
- IT Services & Consulting: JP Morgan with several ratings changes as they upgraded CDW to Overweight from Neutral saying its valuation multiple offers significant upside opportunity; NSIT upgraded to Neutral citing continued enterprise demand momentum and the return of cloud growth for the upgrade; INGM was upgraded to Neutral from Underweight as sees limited downside to consensus estimates; SNX was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral as sees a value unlock opportunity for the shares from a sum-of-the-parts standpoint.
- Data Center/AI Infrastructure: IREN announced a hardware partnership with DELL for its Texas data centers. The deal accelerates IREN's GPU deployment timeline and increases the company's annualized run-rate revenue forecast to $4.4 billion. IREN agreed to buy NVDA’s air-cooled Blackwell systems from Dell in a deal worth $1.6B.
- Software: APPS shares surged on earnings and guidance coming in above consensus expectations; Q4 adj EPS $0.16 tops consensus $0.09 on revs $142.5M vs. est. $133.2M; Q4 adj net Income $19.7M vs. est. $10.11M; Q4 adj EBITDA $31.4M vs. est. $25.14M (was upgraded to Buy at Bank America saying execution has become more consistent and FY27 visibility has improved).
- Internet sector: PDD shares tumbled as Q1 net income fell -15% to 12.5B yuan and revenue totaled 106.23B yuan that missed market estimates of 109.33B yuan, as economic weakness dented demand at its domestic discount marketplace, Pinduoduo. PDD is also facing stiff competition from rivals JD and BABA as well as discount retailers such as ByteDance's Douyin. META launches Instagram, Facebook, and WhatsApp subscriptions, with more to come, including Ai plans Meta is doubling down on its subscription offerings. For a few dollars per month, consumers subscribing to Instagram Plus ($3.99/mo), Facebook Plus ($3.99/mo), or WhatsApp Plus ($2.99/mo) will gain access to extra features, like profile customization, Super reactions, and story insights.
Semiconductors:
- Semiconductor index (SOX) took a small breather after what has been a spectacular run in 2026, up over 80% YTD with monster moves in just about all names outside of recent year winners NVDA, AVGO.
- Memory chip makers have been on absolute fire, with SNDK doing lots of the heavy lifting in 2025, while MU and SK Hynix have taken the reigns this year. @MikeZaccardi noted on X, $MU took 48 days from $500 billion to $1 trillion” in market cap. @KobeissiLetter noted on X, “Taiwan’s stock market surges to its highest level on record, now up another +50% this year. Taiwan now has the 5th largest stock market in the world.” (due to SK Hynix).
- SMTC reported stronger than expected quarterly print and guide, driven by the ramp of Data Center and LoRa platforms; management tied the Q2 upside and 2H acceleration to a broader set of sockets than investors were modelling, including 800G and 1.6T FRO and LPO wins across hyperscalers in U.S. and China.
- GFS shares fell after 22M share Block Trade priced at $86.30