Closing Recap
Friday, May 01, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | -153.27 | 0.31% | 49,498 |
S&P 500 | 21.18 | 0.29% | 7,230 |
Nasdaq | 222.13 | 0.89% | 25,114 |
Russell 2000 | 12.92 | 0.46% | 2,812 |
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq extended gains, setting new all-time highs into the weekend, rising for a 5th consecutive week (after falling 5 straight weeks prior to that) as earnings growth, capex spending, better quarterly results at this point are overshadowing (in the eyes of traders) $100 oil prices, gasoline prices at pump highest in 4-years, rising inflation data (PCE, Prices Paid ISM), bets of interest rate cuts by the Fed off the table (hikes a greater chance in future), uncertainty between Iran/US conflict at commodity supply chains remain disrupted due to Strait of Hormuz closure. For the week, the S&P 500 climbed 0.9%, the Dow climbed 0.5% and the Nasdaq climbed 1.1%.
Market optimism this morning after Apple (AAPL) results helped boost shares and tech space along with news Iran sent a new proposal for talks with the US via mediator Pakistan, state media said, without disclosing details. The two sides have held only one round of negotiations amid a fragile ceasefire after nearly 40 days of war starting February 28. Talks stalled as the US imposed a naval blockade and Iran restricted traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump, responding to the new proposal by Iran, said “we're negotiating by phone; not sure we're going to get to a deal and didn’t like the deal.” In other macro/trade news, President Trump said he “would be increasing tariffs on cars and trucks from the European Union to 25% (from 15%). He noted many Automobile and Truck Plants are currently under construction, with over 100B Dollars being invested.”
April was an incredible month of returns for US markets. the S&P 500 gained 10.42%, the Nasdaq climbed 15.29% (helped by a 38% spike in the semi SOX index), and the Dow climbed 7.14%. Dow industrials record biggest monthly% gain since November 2024, the S&P 500 registers biggest monthly% gain since November 2020 and Nasdaq records biggest monthly% gain since April 2020. The Russell 2000 climbed more than 12%, also its best month since November 2020. The Technology Select Sector (XLK) gained 20%, its best month since October 2002.
After 42% of the S&P 500 reported this week, next week 24% of the SPX will report, led by TMT, H/C, & Industrials. Key Companies Scheduled: ABNB, ADM, AMD, APP, COIN, DDOG, DIS, DVN, EXPE, FANG, GILD, HSIC, HST, J, JCI, KHC, KVUE, LYV, MAR, MCD, NCLH, OXY, PFE, PSKY, PYPL, SATS, SWKS, TKO, UBER, VRTX, WBD, WMB, WYNN & ZTS. After today, of the 317 S&P 500 companies that have reported thus far vs 349 LY (fiscal qtr ending Feb-Apr, per Reuters): 86% beat vs 77% LY and the avg beat 21% vs 23% LY, avg miss -6% vs -13% LY, while avg yr/yr earnings growth 24% vs 11% LY.
Economic Data
- ISM U.S. manufacturing activity index 52.7 in April (consensus 53.0) vs 52.7 in March; ISM U.S. manufacturing prices paid index 84.6 in April (consensus 80.0) vs 78.3 in March; ISM U.S. manufacturing new orders index 54.1 in April vs 53.5 in March and employment index 46.4 in April (consensus 49.0) vs 48.7 in March.
Commodities, Currencies & Treasuries
- U.S. WTI crude oil futures settle at $101.94/bbl, down $3.13, or 2.98% and Brent Crude futures settle at $108.17/bbl, down $2.23, or 2.02%.
- U.S. Natural gas futures edged up about 1% to a fresh three-week high; Front-month gas futures for June delivery rose 0.5%, to settle at $2.780 per million British thermal units (mmBtu). For the week, the front-month climbed about 10% after falling about 6% last week.
- June gold settles +$14.90/oz, or +0.32%, at $4,644.50 while May silver settles +$2.40/oz, or +3.25%, at $76.43. Both metals finish lower for the second straight week, with gold down 2% and silver off 0.6%. Gold and silver caught an updraft later in the week after Fed's decision to keep rates steady.
- Charlie Bilello tweets: "Gas prices in the US have moved up to $4.39 per gallon, their highest level since July 2022. The 47% spike over the last 9 weeks ($2.98/gallon to $4.39/gallon) is the biggest we've seen in the past 30 years."
- The CBOE Volatility index (VIX) fell to 2 month lows today of 16.44.
- The 2-year note yield dipped 3.884% while the yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year note fell 1.6 basis points to 4.374%. Very little action on the day
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | -3.13 | 101.94 |
Brent | -2.23 | 108.17 |
Gold | 14.90 | 4,644.50 |
EUR/USD | -0.0015 | 1.1725 |
JPY/USD | 0.48 | 157.04 |
10-Year Note | -0.012 | 4.378% |
Sector News Breakdown
Retail, Consumer Staples & Restaurants:
- In Consumer Products: CLX shares fall as Q3 adj EPS $1.64 beats $1.55 on in-line revs of $1.67B but said expects annual net sales to fall 6%, compared with its earlier forecast of a 6% to 10% decline while cuts FY26 adjusted EPS view to $5.45-$5.65 from $5.95-$6.30 (est. $5.86) hurt by weaker demand for its cleaning products; said expects its annual gross margin to fall by 250 to 300 basis points. CL shares advanced on results as Q1 sales and profit while Volume at its North America segment fell 3.2% in the quarter, but overall volumes inched up 1.1%. Overall pricing increased 2.2% and reaffirmed guidance.
- In Beauty: EL shares rise as Q3 adj EPS $0.91 tops est. $0.65; Q3 revs $3.71B vs. est. $3.69B; raises FY26 adjusted EPS view to $2.35-$2.45 from $2.03-$2.23 (est. $2.22) and guides FY26 organic net sales growth of approximately 3%, at the high-end of its prior range, vs. consensus $14.97B; revised its job cut target to a range of 9,000 to 10,000 from the previously estimated range of 5,800 to 7,000. ELF was downgraded to Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley (tgt to $67 from $80) saying the company's market share losses in its core cosmetics business are concerning and poised to worsen as the summer of 2025 pricing cycles.
- In Food sector: HSY was upgraded from Hold to Buy at TDCowen on increased confidence that the company will raise 2026 guidance and return to volume growth in 2027/views retail sales growth acceleration in May-June from distribution gains, aggressive merchandising, and innovation as a near-term catalyst for the stock. PPC was upgraded to Overweight at Barclay’s saying while Q1 was softer than expected due to one-time plant shutdowns and adverse weather, and FCF generation remains strong despite higher CAPEX and declining profits.
- Home Service Retailers: FND reported Q1 EPS of $0.37, missing Street ests of $0.43 as comps (-3.7%) was pressured by elevated rates, low Consumer Confidence, and adverse weather (150-200bp headwind), while the QTD comp is down (-4.5%) given weak EHS and as FND laps its high point of comp last year.
Autos, Leisure, Gaming & Lodging:
- In Autos: RIVN reported EPS of $(0.33) vs. est. loss (-$0.60); Q1 revs $1.38B vs. est.$1.37B driven by continued strength in Software & Services, while Consolidated gross profit remained positive at $119M. 2026 delivery guidance (62k–67k) and CAPEX guidance ($1.95–$2.05B) were reaffirmed, with adj. EBITDA guidance unchanged. Also renegotiates DOE loan down to $4.5 billion, adjusts capacity plans for Georgia plant. TM said North America April 2026 U.S. electrified vehicles sales 123,997 vehicles and overall U.S. sales 222,378 vehicles. European autos (VWAGY, RACE, BMWYY, POAHY, MBGGY were active following the headlines). HMC posted sales of 137,405 units in April and 474,236 units year-to-date. Honda brand sales totaled 125,571 units in April, up 1.6%.
- Casinos & Gaming: Macau's gross gaming revenue (GGR) for April 2026 was MOP 19.9 billion (about US$2.47 billion). This represents a +5.5% year-on-year increase from April 2025, but it was -12.0% month-on-month from March 2026 (MOP 22.61 billion / US$2.80 billion). First 4 months of 2026: GGR totaled MOP 85.8 billion (US$10.6 billion), up +12.1% year-on-year (names levered to Macau WYNN, LVS, MGM, MLCO). March Las Vegas Strip GGR rose +14% Y/Y (Q1: +1%), largely on higher Bacc/Table hold. Norm/Ex-Bacc win was solid but a lower at +3%/+7% Y/Y (Q1: +3%/flat), per Truist.
Energy
- Oil majors XOM and CVX both reported: 1) CVX Q1 adj EPS $1.41 vs. consensus $0.95; Q1 revs $48.61B vs. est. $52.0B; says on-track to deliver $3B to $4B structural cost reduction target by year-end; 2026 guidance unchanged; Q1 net oil-equivalent production 3,858 MBoed; Net loss of $360M related to legal reserve included in qtr; 2) XOM Q1 adj EPS $1.16 v. et. $0.96 and revenue $85.138B vs. est. $82.18B; unadjusted profit dropped to its lowest level in five years due to disrupted shipments from the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran; About 20% of Exxon's oil and gas production is located in the Middle East; Q1 free cash flow was $2.7B, down from $8.8B y/y.
- Oil Services: BKR said its weekly oil drilling rig count up 1 at 408 (down 64 vs year ago) in week to May 1 as Nat gas drilling rig count up 1 at 130 in week. North Dakota rigs unchanged; Pennsylvania unchanged; Texas +4.
- In Solar: FSLR delivered 1Q results relatively in line with expectations, with gross margin expansion on higher U.S. mix, normalized freight, and lower warehousing cost and management reaffirmed FY26 guidance
Financials
- Insurance: RYAN downgraded from Overweight to Equal Weight at Wells Fargo given weaker organic growth that is expected to persist in the near term, with high-single digit organic for the year (4-6% range) and 0% in Q2 as well as margin compression; WTW was upgraded to Outperform at BMO Capital following the -12% move on April 29 on a challenging quarter that it doesn't see as indicative of a trend. On its call, management pointed to seeing a recovery in April, as well as several other factors that suggest a bounce back. AIG Q1 adjusted EPS $2.11, tops consensus $1.88; Q1 net premiums written rose 24% y/y to $5.6B; Q1 adj after-tax income per share up 80% y/y driven by higher underwriting income.
- Consumer Lending: TREE shares fell as Q1 EPS $1.22 missed est. $1.47; Q1 revs rose 37% y/y to $327.3M vs. est. $321.7M though raised its ’26E EBITDA by 1% to $152–162M on strong Insurance results, while assuming near-term softness in Consumer/Home from geopolitical pressure on gas prices and rates
REITs:
- CPT 1Q CFFO beat consensus, which appears due to lower opex, share repurchases, and other misc. items. Despite the outperformance, CPT affirmed ’26 CFFO and SSNOI growth guidance.
- CUBE reported 1Q FFO of $0.63, in line with consensus and at the high end of management’s quarterly guidance. Notably, SSREV growth turned positive for the first time since 2Q24, though elevated expenses pressured SSNOI growth modestly vs. last quarter. Management reaffirmed FY26 guidance.
- DRH reported a 1Q adj. EBITDA/FFO beat and increased 2026 adj. EBITDA guidance by 2.5% at the midpoint to largely reflect the 1Q beat. RevPAR increased 2% y/y in 1Q and exceeded management’s expectation, which led to a 50 bps increase to RevPAR growth guidance to 2.5% at the midpoint.
- HR 1Q26 NFFO beat consensus, and management bumped 2026 NFFO guidance by nearly 1%. While new leasing moderated again this quarter, cash leasing spreads increased and retention was strong. Cash SSNOI growth accelerated to ~7% this quarter and management increased 2026 SSNOI growth guidance to 4.25%.
- INN reported a 1Q adj. EBITDA/FFO beat and increased adj. EBITDA guidance by 0.9% at the midpoint. Notably, 1Q RevPAR growth (+0.2%) exceeded management’s expectation by over 200 bps.
- LXP posted a modest 1Q26 FFO miss, but underlying results were steady, with SSNOI growth of 2.0% in line with expectations and ~16% rent change on YTD lease signings.
- SKT posted a 1Q26 Core FFO beat vs. consensus, driven by higher lease termination fee income, and raised FY26 guidance ~0.4% at the midpoint. Occupancy declined 110bps sequentially, while SSNOI growth of 2.6% was pressured by elevated snow removal costs.
Biotech & Pharma:
- The FDA has named Katherine Szarama as the acting director of its vaccines and Biologics unit, Politico reported on Thursday, after Vinay Prasad's tenure came to an end this week. The Politico report comes days after FDA Commissioner Marty Makary said no decision had been reached on Prasad's permanent successor and that he expected an announcement "in the coming weeks." Szarama steps into the role at the Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research (CBER), Politico said. The unit regulates vaccines, gene Therapies and the blood supply.
- AMGN delivered strong 1Q results, showcased by top- and bottom-line beats vs. consensus estimates alongside modest increases in FY26 guidance; shares fell on tax litigation concerns.
- ARVN shares rose after the FDA approved its cancer breast drug with PFE; The drug, branded Veppanu, is approved for certain advanced breast cancer patients
- BIO shares slumped after lowing guidance post earnings saying now expects 2026 revenue to range from a decline of nearly 3% to growth of 0.5%, compared with its prior forecast of 0.5% to 1.5% growth
- ESPR to be taken private by investment firm Archimed for up to $1.1 billion as ESPR shareholders will receive $3.16 in cash for each share, representing a premium of about 58% to co's last close.
- MRNA Q1 revs $389M above $281M Y/y and above est. $228M; International revenue came in at $311M, versus $78M in U.S. markets; reiterated its 2026 forecast for revenue growth of up to 10% compared with a year ago, with roughly half of its revenue coming from the U.S., down from 62% last year; Q2 was weaker.
- SMMT shares fell after the co noted the PFS interim analysis for the squamous cohort of HARMONi-3 occurred, and the trial is continuing as previously planned to final PFS analysis (expected in 2H'26); shares fall as likely implies the trial did not hit stat-sig at this first interim and SMMT may not meet with FDA to accelerate timelines.
Healthcare Services & MedTech movers:
- Healthcare Technology: VEEV shares jumped after being named to replace CTRA in the S&P 500 effective prior to the opening of trading on Thursday, May 7. S&P 500 constituent DVN is acquiring Coterra Energy in a deal expected to close soon, pending final conditions.
- Insulin sector: DXCM reported a slightly better than expected revenue, but the more important metric was significantly better-than-expected adjusted GM, which drove significantly higher adjusted OMs and adjusted EBITDA. Guidance was raised, but to reflect only the Q1 results.
- Ortho sector: SYK posted a Q1 earnings miss while organic sales growth slowed to 2.4% from 11.0% in Q4 due to the cyber incident that Stryker had previously disclosed but now expects the company to continue to benefit from healthy procedure growth, robust hospital capital spending, and numerous new product launches.
Transports
- In the E&C and power sector: MTZ reported strong 1Q on revenue & margins as top line was 10% above expectations while EBITDA was 16% higher while backlog grew 7% sequentially on strength in PD and CEI and BTB was 1.4x. Margin strength was dominant in Pipelines, crossing the 20% mark.
- In Airlines: The WSJ reported this morning that Spirit Airlines (FLYYQ) is preparing to cease operations. The ailing budget airline had been hoping to finalize a $500 million lifeline from the government before running out of cash, but said the carrier hasn't been able to get sufficient support between certain bondholders and the government to secure the funding to keep it in business, (shares of JBLU, ULCC jumped on the headlines)>
- In Industrials: CAT was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley and raise tgt to $915 from $430 after Caterpillar reported a strong Q126 beat driven largely by much stronger results than anticipated in the company's Construction industries business and raised both its near-term and longer term outlooks.
- In Chemicals: LYB reported better Q2 EPS of $0.49 vs. est. $0.28, while revs of $7.2B fell short of consensus and provided an operational outlook; APD was upgraded to Outperform from MP and raise PT to $360 from $325 at BMO Capital saying the company is no longer a "show me" story after demonstrating an ability to execute on its targets. MEOH was downgraded to Neutral at JP Morgan on valuation, though says thinks the company is likely to more than double its EBITDA from Q1 to Q2 amid higher methanol prices.
Internet, Media & Telecom
- AAPL reported better-than-expected Q2 results with strong Q3 guidance; Q2 revenue/EPS of $111.2B/$2.01 compares to FactSet consensus of $109.46B/$1.95 while Q3 guide of 14–17% Y/Y is well ahead of the consensus estimate of ~10%; total sales were up 17% Y/Y driven by 22% iPhone growth and 16% in Services (all-time high at $31.0B). Greater China grew 28% Y/Y, decelerating from F1Q26's 38%, but still marked a March-Q record. Gross margin of 49.3% beat the high end of guidance, thanks to lower tariff costs and favorable mix. Apple raised dividend by 4% and authorized $100B in incremental buybacks. Memory cost overhang in F3Q26
- In Media: ROKU reported strong Q1 results that came in better than expected, and Q2 guidance was moderately ahead of its estimates; PSKY was upgraded at Overweight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley in assumption of coverage with $14 tgt saying pessimism presents an opportunity as the Warner deal is transformative and AI can turbocharge legacy assets, as sees a clear synergy and de-levering path. TKO was also upgraded to Overweight at Morgan Stanley saying high visibility with multi-year Media rights deals for the UFC and WWE provide a solid foundation (~80% of revs are contracted), while sees inexpensive call options around partnerships. IMAX delivered revenue of $81M (+2% vs consensus), AEBITDA of $30.5M (-3% vs consensus), and Adj. EPS of $0.17 (+13% vs consensus), with results impacted by a tough China comp and timing rather than underlying demand.
- Social Media: RDDT shares jumped as reported Q1 revenue/EBITDA 9%/19% ahead of consensus and advertising revenue +74% Y/y, holding a similar 2yr stack (+181% 2yr. Y/y) vs Q4:25 (+180%); Q1 US DAU +1M q/q & Q2 revs guided 2% ahead; Q1 revenue of $663M grew 69% Y/y, which exceeded bogey estimates of 64% Y/y.
Hardware & Software movers:
- AI Sector: The Pentagon said it had reached agreements with seven leading AI companies: SpaceX, OpenAI, Google, NVIDIA, Reflection, Microsoft and Amazon Web Services. "These agreements accelerate the transformation toward establishing the U.S. military as an AI-first fighting force and will strengthen our warfighters' ability to maintain decision superiority across all domains of warfare."
- Ai Infrastruture: NBIS agreed to acquire inference and optimization startup Eigen AI in a deal valued at about $643M, strengthening its push into production‑grade artificial intelligence and expanding its United States footprint; RIOT shares rose after results as Q1 revenue rose to $167.2M vs. est. $131M and reported first quarter of data center revenue at $33.2M.
- Software movers: nice bounce for the sector (IGV) after TEAM share rise on results as raised annual revenue growth forecast to about 24% from prior expectations of 22% and reports Q3 revenue of $1.79B topping consensus of $1.69B and Jefferies noted Cloud/total rev +29/32% beat bogeys at 26/28% and RPO grew 37% and 34% OPM is a record high; TWLO reported strong Q1 results with top and bottom-line beat, with key growth metric, gross profit Dollar growth accelerating to +16% Y/y from 10% in Q425, and was well above Street at +10.3% and revenue grew 20% Y/Y (16% organic) to $1.41B, the fastest reported and organic growth in more than three years. FIVN reported 9% rev growth and a modest beat that was greater than past 2 qtrs./sub rev growth up to 13% and Ai revs accelerated to 68% Y/Y with solid ARR. EBIDTA margins expanded 560 bps Y/Y to 24.4%.
- Gaming Software: RBLX shares tumbled as bookings were down 22.8% in Q1 and guided to decline a further ~8.7% in Q2; slashes FY26 bookings view to $7.33B-$7.6B from prior view of $8.28B-$8.55B; now sees a sequential decline in daily active users (DAU) in Q2 after Q1 DAUs stood at 132M, up 35% from a year ago
- In Internet: GDDY reported ex-Fx bookings growth (+2%) a ~point below expectations (+3%), reflecting the impact from the new GTM strategy, .CO termination, and tough Aftermarket comps while management reaffirmed FY26 growth (+6%) and profitability per Oppenheimer.
- AI Networking sector: Redburn initiated LITE ($1,270 PT), CLS ($460 PT), CRDO ($206 PT), COHR ($455 PT) Initiate with Buys and with Neutrals on CIEN ($416 PT), ALAB ($153 PT) saying the monetization of Generative Ai (GenAI) CAPEX will require more Intelligent large language models. Model Intelligence stems, in part, from the rate at which information is exchanged between chips. But the rate of this information exchange – Bandwidth – is constrained by the copper interconnects that have historically fused Parts of the datacenter together.
Semiconductors/Memory/HDD sector:
- Semiconductor impact from Apple results: ARM, AVGO, CRUS, QCOM, QRVO, SWKS among iPhone suppliers as AAPL posted FQ226 (Mar) iPhone rev of $57B (+22% Y/y), slightly above consensus $56.5B, and +DD% across major markets.
- AXTI shares jumped initially after smaller Q1 loss and beat on revs $26.9M vs. est. $26.2M saying strong demand for indium phosphide substrates is driving capacity expansion and highlights ongoing capacity planning discussions with customers and supply chain partners.
- MPWR reported strong Q1 results and Q2 guidance, which meaningfully exceeded expectations as strength was seen broadly in Data Center across server CPU and Ai, which drove strong growth in Enterprise Data (+98% Y/y) and Communications (+56% Y/y) and boosted its outlook for 2026 ED growth from +50% to +85%.
- SNDK reported a top and bottom line beat that crushed estimates and notably higher guidance and datacenter revenue grew to $1.467B, +233% q/q and now ~25% of revenue, driven almost entirely by high-performance TLC enterprise SSDs; signed five NMB partnerships (3 in FQ326 and 2 already in FQ426); 3 in FQ326 supporting $42B of minimum contract rev backed by >$11B of financial guarantees (shares slipped after massive outperformance).
- WDC delivered another strong qtr, with rev, EPS and GMs all above the high end of guidance and above consensus as gross margins grew 436bps q/q to 50.5% & incremental GMs were 73% Y/y and ~92% q/q; Q4 guide (51-51% GMs) does imply a slower q/q step-up; announced a 4th HAMR qualification customer and the dual-track approach (advancing HAMR & next-gen ePMR) is supportive of near-term profitability.