Closing Recap
Tuesday, July 14, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | 10.02 | 0.02% | 52,508 |
S&P 500 | 28.54 | 0.38% | 7,543 |
Nasdaq | 233.83 | 0.90% | 26,107 |
Russell 2000 | 11.60 | 0.39% | 2,964 |
US equity futures were mixed into the pre-market following IBM’s surprise, disappointing, pre-release and -20% pre-market swoon competing with better earnings from several financials (C, JPM, GS, WFC). S&P futures dipped modestly into the red, but Nasdaq futures gained. The US/Iran conflict escalated further overnight as well, with another round of US strikes on military targets to eliminate Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz. The US also resumed its Iranian ports blockade. Oil gained almost 4% overnight as a result. On the equities side, a cooler CPI release seemed to please the Fed watchers and generated a nice pre-market pop back to positive territory.
By mid-morning, stocks held gains with breadth favoring advancers by 2:1 as small caps split the large cap indices with IWM (+0.46%) versus SPY (+0.36%) and QQQ (+1.04%). SPY breadth favored decliners by 11:9, but QQQ breadth favored advancers by 9:8. Financials (+1.01%), Utilities (+0.89%) and Technology (+0.83%) were outperformers among S&P sector ETFs, while Real Estate (-0.46%), Consumer Staples (-0.67%) and Health Care (-1.95%) paced the underperformers with 6 sectors gaining versus 5 declining. In Fear & Greed today, the index remained in Fear territory at 44/100 versus last week’s 43 (Fear) and last month’s 35 (Fear), and still a very different picture versus last year’s 76 (Extreme Greed).
Stocks moved mostly sideways into late afternoon as US/Iran rhetoric continued to escalate but the rate-hike-expectations trade won out as Warsh spoke but made no sufficiently hawkish comments to spook investors. Earnings have just begun to ramp, so many eyes will turn to growth and guidance from reporting companies to guide the next market moves in coming weeks. Shares of Dow components and financial giants JPM and GS both hit all-time record highs today after quarterly results crushed estimates, while shares of Citigroup (C) and Wells Fargo declined post results.
Economic Data
- June U.S. Consumer Price Index reported at +3.5% Y/Y better than the expected rise of +3.8% consensus and +4.2% in May. On a month-over-month basis, June’s CPI fell a greater (-0.4%) vs. (-0.1%) consensus and +0.5% prior. The Core CPI (excluding food and energy) was unchanged at 0.0% M/M vs. +0.2% consensus and +0.2% in May and on a Y/Y basis rose +2.6% vs. +2.9% consensus and +2.9% prior.
Commodities, Currencies & Treasuries
- Gold futures rose modestly overnight as US/Iran tensions continued to build. Cooler CPI results also eased some rate-hike fears while the US Dollar and yields slipped, all supporting incremental gains in gold into the afternoon. August gold settled +$64.00/oz, or +1.60%, at $4,069.70.
- WTI crude futures popped overnight as the US launched more strikes against military targets in Iran and resumed its blockade of Iranian ports. Later comments from Trump clarified the Strait of Hormuz is open to all ship traffic except for Iran with the full blockade only applicable to ships coming from or going to Iranian ports. August crude futures slipped back to losses on the headlines before trending flattish ahead of afternoon gains and eventually settled +$1.20/bbl, or +1.54%, at $79.34.
- U.S. Treasury yields declined after data showed consumer inflation slowed more than expected in June, dampening market expectations for a near-term rate hike from the Federal Reserve. The Labor Department said the Consumer Price Index increased 3.5% in the 12 months through June after surging 4.2% in May, the largest year-on-year rise since April 2023. On a monthly basis, CPI fell 0.4% after a 0.5% increase in May.
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | 1.20 | 79.34 |
Brent | 1.43 | 84.73 |
Gold | 64.00 | 4,069.70 |
EUR/USD | 0.0036 | 1.1417 |
JPY/USD | -0.16 | 162.26 |
10-Year Note | -0.018 | 4.591% |
Sector News Breakdown
Homebuilders, Building Products, Home Furnishing:
- In Building product sector: flooring company TREX announced several strategic changes to the company's distribution network, including an expansion with longtime distribution partner SBP (Specialty Building Products) to become TREX's sole National distributor and reported preliminary Q2 sales above guide and EBITDA modestly above consensus, while 2026 guide was raised across the board.
- In Homebuilders: Barclay’s said they expect 2026 could shape up to be another "lost year" for Builders as it remains lower conviction on the space vs building products, as Builders increasingly become entirely a rates trade in 2H, and demand remains more muted in the crosshairs of ongoing macro and affordability challenges. The firm tweaks near-term estimates slightly lower given intra-quarter choppier demand reads and still elevated rates, downgraded TMHC to EW from OW on M&A and remains underweight on TOL.
Autos, Leisure, Gaming & Lodging:
- Casinos & Leisure: Wynn Macau (WYNMF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs saying despite tweaking down industry GGR growth forecast, the firm revised up Wynn's FY26-28 EBITDA estimates. Citigroup lowered ests on MGM, WYNN on weak Q2 for Macau, which is arguably Macau's toughest quarter since reopening, with GGR impacted by both the global soccer tournament and some extremely unfavorable hold rates. Wells Fargo upgraded RRR to Overweight as foresee plenty of upside ahead after walked away from company visit more constructive on the temp. disruption impact at GVR and Durango.
- In Autos: LCID shares tumbled as the company denied as "completely false" a blog post saying it was considering a potential take-private transaction or a Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing, after the electric-vehicle maker's shares tumbled more than 50% in what would be their steepest one-day decline. Lucid said it had sufficient liquidity to fund operations well into next year, had not formed a special board committee to explore the reported scenarios. Bloomberg reported UBER is in advanced talks to acquire Delivery Hero (DELHY) and an agreement could be reached as soon as this week, noting the transaction would likely value Delivery Hero well above its recent trading price of around EUR 36 per share.
Energy
- Oil Equipment & Service sector: both HAL and PTEN were upgraded from Neutral to Overweight at Piper saying they like the entry point here for both after pulling back >20% from their mid-May highs. Despite the sharper than expected oil price retreat putting pressure on the stocks, the US Land fundamentals remain solid. SLB is teaming with LBRT to offer the infrastructure and power needed to feed a booming demand for data center projects; said their strategic alliance will deliver modular infrastructure and integrated power generation solutions to support the deployment of new data center capacity.
- Oil refiners (VLO, DK, PBF, DINO, MPC) making 52-week highs daily given the surge in oil prices as tensions escalate between the US and Iran the last three days as cease fire is off. BP said it expects stronger oil and gas prices, robust oil trading and higher refining margins to lift Q2 earnings, while at the same time, Q2 results are expected to include around $1B of impairments, primarily related to its lower-carbon energy transition businesses.
- Alt Energy/Solar: FCEL was upgraded to Buy at UBS (raise tgt to $27) driven by recent deal with FIT Energy; announcement of collaboration with Siemens for product development and FCEL's ability to fill the void created by competitors scaling up to pursue significantly larger orders.
Banks:
- BAC Q2 profit rises on strong trading activity as Q2 EPS $1.21 tops est. $1.13 on revs rising 15% y/y to $31.6B vs. est. $30.8B driven by robust trading performance as market volatility encouraged clients to adjust their portfolios. The banks Q2 provision for credit losses $1.4B vs. est. $1.5B; Q2 net income rises 27% to $9.1B; 2Q equities trading revs $3.62B vs. est. $2.69B; 2Q FICC trading revs $3.54B, vs. est. $3.53B; Q2 net interest income was $16B vs. est. $15.92B.
- Citi (C) posted Q2 adj. EPS $3.15 above est. $2.72 while revs rose 14.3% y/y to $24.766B topping est. $23.737B aided by robust trading and strong investment banking fees. Q2 FICC Sales & Trading Revs $4.71B (est $4.56B), Equities Sales & Trading Rev $2.3B (est $1.9B), Net Interest Income $17.13B (est $16.01B). Q2 investment banking jumped 44% to $1.55B and total banking revenues rose 34% to $1.92B. Also, Q2 Net interest income +13% and Non-interest revenue +18%; raises dividend by 12%, launches $30B buyback.
- GS reported blowout Q2 results as EPS $20.98 crushed ests $14.48 and revs surged 39% y/y to $20.34B above consensus est. $16.13B while raises quarterly dividend to $5.00 from $4.50. Investment banking revs surged 55% y/y to $3.4B, Q2 FICC sales & trading rev rose 32% y/y to $4.59B, tops est. $3.76B while equities business revs of $7.42B, surged 72% y/y; Q2 provision for credit losses better at -$102M vs est. -$204.9M primarily reflected impairments related to wholesale loans.
- JPM strong results as Q2 revs rose 27% y/y to $57.3B top estimates of $51.1B; Q2 EPS $7.70 tops est. $5.59; Q2 Total Deposits $2.71T (est $2.69T), loans: $1.54T (est $1.52T), Equities Sales & Trading $6.03B (est $3.98B), FICC Sales & Trading $6.05B (est $6.29B), Investment Banking Revs rose 30% to $3.90B (est $3.06B); Q2 net Charge-Offs$2.37B (est $2.62B); Net income included a $4.6B gain related to Visa shares and $1.0 bln of gains on certain equity investments.
- WFC reported top/bottom line beat as Q2 EPS $2.00 vs. est. $1.72; Q2 revs $22.62B vs. est. $21.83B; Q2 net interest income rose 5% y/y to $12.31B vs. est. $12.36B; Q2 provision for credit losses was $945M; consumer spending higher, charge-offs and delinquencies are lower; savings/investments grow across consumer segments. The increase was driven by robust trading performance as market volatility encouraged clients to adjust their portfolios.
Services, Bitcoin, FinTech, Payments:
- Payments: KLAR is rolling out a new buy-now-pay-later structured retail trust as it ramps up growth targets in the US market and aims to fuel further penetration in a key region per Bloomberg
- Crypto sector: stablecoin provider CRCL shares fell after Mizuho downgraded to underperform (tgt to $50 from $85) as believes that Open-USD's pass-through model to distributors and large scale with over 140 partners could fundamentally alter the company's business model.
- Financial Services: TRI said it would sell a 51% stake in its Global Print business to private equity firm KKR for about $500 million.
Biotech & Pharma:
- AZN said it entered into an exclusive global license agreement with China's Dizal Pharmaceutical for the lung cancer treatment drug Zegfrovy, in a deal valued at up to $1.5B; said it would make an upfront payment of $600B, as well as additional payments of up to $900M of milestones.
- BIIB shares fell after saying its experimental Alzheimer's drug diranersen missed the main goal of its mid-stage study, which tested whether higher doses provided greater benefit in patients with early Alzheimer's disease; said the drug, however, slowed decline in memory, thinking and daily functioning in the trial.
- Celcuity (CELC) said the FDA approved its gedatolisib with fulvestrant, with or without palbociclib, for advanced or metastatic breast cancer; Gedatolisib is CELC's experimental breast cancer drug.
- ERAS updated preliminary Phase 1 data for its pan-RAS molecular glue ERAS-0015 in patients with RAS-mutant solid tumors; announced clinical development plans for the ERAS-0015 program, including potentially registration-enabling trials in lung and pancreatic cancers; $500M secondary priced at $17.50.
- MBX announces executive leadership transition to support the company’s next phase of growth, appointing Steve Hoerter as Chairman and CEO as Kent Hawryluk steps down as President, CEO, board member.
- NXTC shares surge after saying it will merge with privately held Avere Therapeutics in an all-stock deal and operate as Avere Therapeutics after closing. NXTC says concurrent $320 mln private financing will fund development of AVR-001, an experimental once-weekly pill for inflammatory diseases.
Healthcare Services & MedTech movers:
- Hospital operators: HCA shares fell after results and guidance; Q2 revs $20.23B vs. est. $19.43B but narrowed its Fy26 rev outlook to $77B-$79.5B from prior $76.5B-$80B view and also lowered its 2026 net income outlook to $6.3B-$6.7B from prior $6.495B-$7.035B and lower EPS view of $28.70-$30.50, down from $29.10-$31.50 prior; said a service mix shift, mainly from a decline in surgical volume, negatively affected results (shares of THC, UHS, CYH moved in reaction in hospitals).
- Medical Devices: ANGO Q4 sales $86.6M tops ests $80.4M; Q4 EPS loss (-$0.07) vs. est. loss (-$0.09); guides Fy27 sales outlook $336-$341M as expects Med Tech net sales growth of 12%–15% and Med Device net sales growth flat; sees gross margin of 54%–55% and adj EBITDA of $13M-$16M for fiscal 2027.
Industrials & Materials
- Industrial Distributors: WCC was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens and raise tgt to $400 from $350 noting Wesco has pulled back about 10% from the highs through this summer, offering investors an entry point as while they downgraded GWW to Equal Weight from Overweight with an unchanged price target of $1,355 noting the current stock price represents about a 50% climb since April 2024 and 36% YTD advance, trading at one of the company's highest-ever premiums to the S&P 500.
- Transports: in railroads: Susquehanna upgraded CSX to positive (IM, pricing acceleration, aligning valuation to market) and downgraded CNI to neutral (thesis played out; upside limited into USMCA review). The firm said they remain positive on CP up North (Can-Mex trade offsets and advantaged IM offerings) and remain positive on UNP longer-term (NSC neutral on deal terms). In trucking, Susquehanna said they are most constructive on KNX (purest one-way TL pricing play + LTL optionality) and JBHT (intermodal strength, and pricing power as diversified freight leader), favor CHRW within brokerage on execution, and stay negative on RXO, where they think valuation has outrun an improving but still-unproven earnings story.
- In Defense/Drones: KTOS receives approximately $400 million in new funding for hypersonic system and other programs; EH was downgraded from Buy to Neutral at Goldman Sachs and cut tgt to $7.30 from $16.90 on fair valuation, reflecting its lower estimates driven by potentially longer time needed for commercial ticketed services and VT-35 and overseas expansion remaining in an early Stage.
- Papers & Packaging sector: Bank America upgraded ATR to Buy from Neutral (tgt to $173 from $148) as valuation remains attractive versus comparable companies and difficult emergency medicine destocking comparisons near completion while resumes GPK at Neutral. The firm also downgraded SLVM to Neutral given updated valuation and view that paper pricing may be peaking; IP cut to Neutral on updated valuation. Additionally, had upgraded IP last August on a view that containerboard pricing would rise twice in, but this call has now played out; also downgraded OI to Underperform as don’t see lots of downside and management deserves credit for its cost cuts, but relative upside could lag on glass volume weakness; lastly GEF downgraded to Underperform, largely on valuation as we see limited upside after 14% move.
AI, Internet, Media & Telecom
- Phones & Handheld sector: AAPL was downgraded from Sector Weight to Underweight at Keybanc with $250 tgt saying their KFLD shows Indexed Spending -2% M/m, which is below the three-year avg of +9% M/m, another month of below-trend growth. At 35x PE, thinks AAPL is too expensive for this to occur.
- Data Center/AI infrastructure sector: CLSK signed a 20-year infrastructure lease with a global technology company for its Sandersville, Georgia, campus. The triple-net lease is expected to generate about $6.6B in contracted revenue over its initial term, with the potential contract value rising to $11.6B if the tenant exercises two five-year extension options. Ai startup Reflection said it has signed a more than $1B deal to secure Computing capacity from NBIS, including access to NVDA’s latest chips. The move builds on Reflection's June agreement with SPCX for Computing capacity. HUT price tgt raised to $165 from $85 at Benchmark noting the co has converted the megawatts at two new Ai data center sites into at least $16.8B of contracted, investment-grade lease value, financed the buildout with $7.5B of non-dilutive project bonds, and expanded a development pipeline that now stands at more than 9 GW in six months. Other data center names WULF, RIOT, CIFR, HUT weaker too as New York Gov. Kathy Hochul hits pause on new 50MW+ hyperscale data centers for up to a year.
- Communications & Networking: ERIC shares fell on mixed Q2 results, with earnings topping analyst estimates despite a decline in sales, as strength in its cloud business, but flagged rising component costs linked to AI demand; Q2 revs declined 6.1% Y/Y to SEK 52.7B, missing the consensus estimate of SEK 54.04B while EPS of SEK 1.22 beat the consensus estimate of SEK 1.19. NOK and Taiwan Mobile extend 5G partnership to advance Ai-powered networks. Nokia's AirScale portfolio and Ai-driven software power Taiwan Mobile's; 5G network modernization for enhanced performance, automation, and sustainability.
Hardware & Software movers:
- Software sector: IBM shares tumbled after issuing prelim Q2 revenue rose a modest 1% y/y to $17.2B, missing the consensus $17.86B as Software revenue rose 5% while Infrastructure declined -7%; said weaker-than-expected z17 demand and delayed large customer deals weighed on results, while Red Hat revenue accelerated to 11% and Distributed Infrastructure grew 37%. IBM reaffirmed its long-term AI and quantum strategy, highlighting a planned $10 billion quantum investment over the next five years. Shares of other software names NOW, TEAM, CRM, MNDY, SNOW, MSFT, DDOG all tumbled. IBM CEO said, "In the last few weeks of June, we saw clients shift their quarterly capex spend toward servers, storage, and memory purchases to secure supply-constrained infrastructure ahead of expected price increases.”
- In Optical sector: AAOI expands Texas Manufacturing for AI Optical Transceivers as the company began construction of two new manufacturing facilities in Pearland, Texas, adding nearly 400,000 square feet of capacity. The expansion will support production of 800G and 1.6T optical transceivers for AI and cloud infrastructure networks.
Semiconductors:
- DeepSeek is in preliminary talks with new investors for another funding round that could value the AI company at around $71 billion pre-deal.
- A top U.S. official told Congress that a small number of Nvidia NVDA.O H200 chips, one of the company's most powerful AI chips, have been shipped to China to date. "There have been minimal exports of any H200s to China so far," Jeffrey Kessler, undersecretary of commerce for industry and security, told the House Foreign Affairs Committee.
- Keybanc revised several company ests and tgts (raised for ADI, AMD, ARM, INTC, NRVL, MU, NVDA, TXN) while downgraded SWKS. What was most topical was data center demand strength driving broad crosscurrents across semis, supporting continued memory shortages, price increases, and tight supply conditions that are pulling forward PCs and flagship smartphone builds. Said they are seeing analog track better, with DC and ind demand driving extended lead times, price increases, and improving bookings.
- TSEM said it plans to invest about $3B to expand its advanced semiconductor manufacturing capacity in Japan, backed by about $1B in grants from the Japanese government; the company also updated its 2028 financial targets, forecasting $3.6B in revenue.
- UMC reported its first mass-produced silicon photonics wafers manufactured within its Singapore facility; also plans to make its own 12-inch silicon photonics platform available for customer product development by 2027