Early Look
Monday, November 2, 2026
Futures | Up/Down | % | Last |
Dow | 315.00 | 0.61% | 52,233 |
S&P 500 | 40.25 | 0.54% | 7,654 |
Nasdaq | 239.50 | 0.84% | 28,773 |
After sharp declines last week, U.S. stock futures are looking higher on Monday as traders prepare for a busy week filled with corporate earnings, monthly employment data, and the U.S. midterm elections, while we get earnings after the close from Apple (AAPL). The new week starts with oil prices tumbling off their highest levels in 5 months, and U.S. midterm elections to be held Tuesday where results could impact various sectors and individual stocks depending on the new makeup of Congress. In the prediction markets, the Kalshi contract for Democrats recapturing the House sits at 94%, the more closely watched Senate race sitting at 73% for Democrats, up 1% on the day. On the economic front, investors will monitor the PMI Manufacturing Final and ISM Manufacturing Index reports for fresh signals on manufacturing activity. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index declined -208 points to 63,081, the Shanghai Index rose 39 points to 3,638, and the Hang Seng Index gained 98 points to 23,393. In Europe, the German DAX is up 93 points to 25,912, while the FTSE 100 gains 14 points to 1,743. Oil prices declined ahead of Tuesday’s U.S. midterm elections as investors weighed renewed attacks on commercial vessels near the Strait of Hormuz against prospects for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict with Iran.
After a stock market selling bloodbath on Friday, with the Nasdaq falling -2.86%, its biggest one-day percentage loss since June 5th (and posted its biggest monthly % decline since March 2025 falling -5.3%), investors turn toward November, awaiting mid-term election results tomorrow, monthly jobs data, and another busy week of corporate earnings, highlighted by Apple (AAPL) results after the close tonight. Note the S&P 500, Nasdaq fell for a third straight week on Friday, its longest weekly run of declines since March, as the S&P 500 fell -0.58%, the Nasdaq declined -2%, and the Dow fell -0.85%. October was dreadful for tech stocks (XLK, SOX, QQQ) but was a great month for most of the other S&P 500 names, with 9 of 11 sectors posting monthly gains and 4 of those 9 racking up for double digit % gains. The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) fell 17% in October, ending the month below its 200-day moving average as a broad selloff in semiconductor stocks weighed on the fund. Energy (XLE) was up 13% in October due to surging oil/energy prices, while defensive Healthcare (XLV), Utilities (XLU) and Consumer Staples (XLP) are posted monthly gains of around 10%.
Market Closing Prices Yesterday
Economic Calendar for Today
Earnings Calendar:
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
Nymex | -4.26 | 99.86 |
Brent | -4.63 | 108.80 |
Gold | 7.10 | 3,906.00 |
EUR/USD | 0.0049 | 1.1209 |
JPY/USD | 0.41 | 157.97 |
10-Year Note | -0.02 | 4.91% |
World News
Sector News Breakdown
Consumer
Energy, Industrials and Materials
Financials
Healthcare
Technology, Media & Telecom
Mid-Morning Look
Monday, November 02, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | 499.98 | 0.97% | 52,270 |
S&P 500 | 74.26 | 0.98% | 7,654 |
Nasdaq | 328.24 | 1.29% | 25,765 |
Russell 2000 | 28.25 | 1.00% | 2,840 |
U.S. stock markets kicking off the new month in solid fashion, rebounding after the sharp selloff in technology shares last week/month, helped by a notable decline in oil prices ahead of Apple (AAPL) earnings results tonight, midterm elections tomorrow and key jobs data later this week. More than 1% gains early for the Nasdaq, Dow, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 in broad rally with Energy (XLE) the main laggard due to falling oil prices on renewed Iran-related diplomacy, supporting a risk-on opening, but more than 2% gains early for Consumer Discretionary (XLY), Materials (XLB) on metals strength and Industrials (XLI) as power plays bounce. Oil prices tumbled as Qatari-mediated U.S.-Iran talks progress. Overall it looks like investors are glad to put October behind them following the Nasdaq’s 5% monthly fall after reports from Amazon, Alphabet, and Intel hurt tech stocks badly last week.
Economic Data
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | -7.15 | 96.97 |
Brent | -7.60 | 105.82 |
Gold | 68.200 | 3,967.10 |
EUR/USD | 0.0046 | 1.1211 |
JPY/USD | 0.23 | 157.75 |
10-Year Note | -0.047 | 4.882% |
Sector Movers Today
Stock GAINERS
Stock LAGGARDS
Closing Recap
Friday, October 30, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | -571.95 | 1.09% | 51,770 |
S&P 500 | -140.35 | 1.82% | 7,580 |
Nasdaq | -747.73 | 2.86% | 25,437 |
Russell 2000 | -47.36 | 1.66% | 2,811 |
Ahead of Halloween, Wall Street was spooked by technology stocks, playing a “trick” not a “treat” for investors, and closing out a tumultuous month for the AI related trade. U.S. stock markets tumbled behind a sharp -2.86% drop in the Nasdaq, hitting near 3 month lows as aggressive AI spending plans from Amazon and Intel's cash-burn warning heightened investor concerns over soaring AI buildout costs and the timeline for returns. Intel posted its steepest one-day drop on record with a near 29% slide after saying it would burn cash this year due to a weak PC market, manufacturing hurdles and heavy spending to expand production. The warning from both led to further aggressive selling in semis and the AI chain, with data centers, opticals and infrastructure names extending their monthly declines. Software stocks also added to the bloodbath in tech with TWLO falling on lower guidance, just a day after weak results from NOW crushed the sector. The S&P Tech sector (XLK) fell nearly -5% Friday while the SOX index fell over -7.2%, breaking below key technical support levels (and finished down over -15.3% this month), off the lows of the day. The CBOE Volatility index (VIX) spiked as high as 23.93 this afternoon, taking out Friday 10/16 22.31 high, but ended the day just below 20.
Overall though, October has been a great month for most of the other S&P 500 names, with 9 of 11 sectors posting monthly gains and 4 of those 9 racking up for double digit % gains. Communications (XLC) is down over -9% this month while Technology (XLK) is down -7.5%. On the flip side, investors have rotated into Energy (XLE), which is up 13% in October due to surging oil/energy prices, while defensive Healthcare (XLV), Utilities (XLU) and Consumer Staples (XLP) are all on track for monthly gains of over 10%. All three major indexes posted weekly losses after the Nasdaq posts biggest one-day percentage loss since June 5th (biggest monthly % decline since March 2025). For the week, the S&P 500 fell -0.58%, the Nasdaq declined -2%, and the Dow fell -0.85% while for the month the S&P 500 fell -0.94%, the Nasdaq declined -5.3%, and the Dow climbed 1.7%. S&P 500, Nasdaq fall for third straight week, longest weekly run of declines since March.
The Nasdaq 100 index is on track for a $2 trillion market value wipeout in October as investors scrutinize Big Tech's massive artificial intelligence spending. Companies like Alphabet and Meta are raising concerns about cash burn and capital markets access, while Microsoft and Amazon show AI investments beginning to pay off. Hyperscalers like AMZN, GOOGL, META, SPCX and others have not guided Wall Street properly on how much they intended to spend this year and next on AI infrastructure. The bills are coming in much larger than expected and the fact that cash flow (FCF) is drying up from the hyperscalers because of a protracted period of spending is causing the debt and stock markets to retreat. The prospect of ever-bigger AI outlays has unnerved investors, particularly as rising borrowing costs threaten to make debt-funded investment more expensive and harder to justify. Amazon's free cash flow decreased to an outflow of $42.4 billion for the trailing twelve months (compared to a free cash flow inflow of $14.8 billion y/y); Google posted negative free cash flow of $9.1 billion in the quarter versus a Wall Street estimate for negative $3.5 billion. Meta last week posted negative free cash flow for the first time since 2012. SpaceX (SPCX) burned about $9.9 billion in free cash flow in the quarter.
Another huge story was in the crypto markets as hackers stole $6.3 billion from Binance, the world's biggest cryptocurrency exchange, in a record theft that analysts pinned on North Korea. Cryptocurrency prices fell on the news with Bitcoin down -1.5% to $77,600, while Binance halted withdrawals and said it would cover the losses. About half the stolen assets were quickly frozen by stablecoin issuers such as Tether, Circle and the Trump-backed World Liberty Financial. "This was a complex attack, and we are doing all we can in coordination with law enforcement to resolve it," Binance said in a post on X. The exchange said customer funds were safe and that it was working with partners to freeze some of the affected assets, with about $3 billion located so far. It expects to resume withdrawal services in the next 45 hours. It did not mention the status of the remaining $3.3 billion. Co-CEO Teng said that "and company funds" would cover losses.
Economic Data
Commodities, Currencies & Treasuries
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | 2.12 | 104.120 |
Brent | 2.76 | 117.64 |
Gold | -132.50 | 3,898.90 |
EUR/USD | -0.0007 | 1.1168 |
JPY/USD | -0.11 | 157.53 |
10-Year Note | -0.06 | 4.928% |
Sector News Breakdown
Retail, Consumer Staples & Restaurants:
Energy
Financials
Biotech & Pharma:
Healthcare Services & MedTech movers:
Industrials & Materials
Materials, Metals & Mining
Internet, Media & Telecom
Hardware & Software movers:
Semiconductors:
Not offered or endorsed by Regal Securities
Street Recommendations
Monday, November 2, 2026
BARCLAYS
BERENBERG
BERNSTEIN
BOFA
BTIG
CANACCORD
CITI
DA DAVIDSON
DEUTSCHE BANK
EVERCORE ISI
GOLDMAN SACHS
GUGGENHEIM
JEFFERIES
JPMORGAN
KEEFE BRUYETTE
MIZUHO
MOFFETTNATHANSON
MORGAN STANLEY
NORTHLAND
RAYMOND JAMES
RBC CAPITAL
STEPHENS
STIFEL
SUSQUEHANNA
TD COWEN
TRUIST
UBS
WELLS FARGO
Rating abbreviations…
***OP = Outperform
***SP = Sector Perform
***UP = Underperform
***OW = Overweight
***EW = Equal-weight
***UW = Underweight
***Report powered by thefly.com***
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Monday November 2nd
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