Early Look
Wednesday, May 20, 2026
Futures | Up/Down | % | Last |
Dow | 95.00 | 0.19% | 49,554 |
S&P 500 | 27.25 | 0.37% | 7,405 |
Nasdaq | 205.50 | 0.71% | 29,129 |
U.S. futures are bouncing across the board, led by a rally in tech (Nasdaq futures outperform) as optimism is high heading into this evenings earnings results from semiconductor chip giant Nvidia (NVDA) which is expected to help bounce the sector after pulling back from skyrocket record highs reached just late last week. US equities closed lower Tuesday as traders faded optimism around a near-term US/Iran agreement after reports suggested negotiations remain stuck. Higher Treasury yields amid rising inflation fears has also dented investor sentiment the last three days, though the 10-year yield slips 3 bps to 4.63% this morning while oil prices also ease. The S&P 500 (SPX) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) both recorded its first three day decline since the end of March (3/26-3/30) as Treasury yields ended higher again, with the 10-yr finishing at 4.661% (up 70 bps since the start of the Iran war), the 2-year yield at 4.11% and the 30-yr yield at 5.177%. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index tumbled-746 points to 59,804, the Shanghai Index slipped -7 points to 4,162, and the Hang Seng Index dropped -146 points to 25,651. In Europe, the German DAX is up 150 points to 24,550, while the FTSE 100 is up 13 points to 10,343. Solid earnings/guidance this morning from retailers, Target (TGT), Lowe’s (LOW), Hasbro (HAS) and VF Corp. (VFC) and last night from CAVA and RRGB in the restaurant sector. Its all about Nvidia today as options traders are pricing an implied move of 5.5% for shares in either direction following the results. Rising memory price costs are also a factor this morning as an impending strike at Samsung could add to concerns around supply, boosting shares of MU, SNDK early.
Market Closing Prices Yesterday
Economic Calendar for Today
Earnings Calendar:
Other Key Events:
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
Nymex | -1.94 | 102.21 |
Brent | -2.18 | 109.10 |
Gold | -13.30 | 4,497.90 |
EUR/USD | -0.0005 | 1.160 |
JPY/USD | -0.08 | 158.89 |
10-Year Note | -0.031 | 4.63% |
World News
Sector News Breakdown
Consumer
Energy, Industrials and Materials
Financials
Healthcare
Technology, Media & Telecom
Mid-Morning Look
Wednesday, May 20, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | 243.59 | 0.49% | 49,607 |
S&P 500 | 42.59 | 0.58% | 7,396 |
Nasdaq | 215.49 | 0.83% | 26,086 |
Russell 2000 | 24.13 | 0.88% | 2,771 |
U.S. stocks open higher after the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both fell for a 3rd straight day on Tuesday, their longest losing streaks since the end of March though pared losses late day amid a bounce in tech stocks, as markets now await earnings results from the biggest company in the world, NVidia (NVDA) tonight after the bell in the semi sector. Stocks got an additional bounce as oil prices fell around 4%, putting stocks at their highs this morning which lifted gold prices off lows and Treasury yields slipped. Smallcaps bounce as the Russell 2000 outperforms. Overnight, Al Arabiya reported that President Trump said that Iran’s leaders are begging to make a deal, but that a new U.S. attack would happen in the coming days if one was not reached. Reuters is reporting that U.S. President Donald Trump again asserted the war with Iran will end "very quickly," on Tuesday night. Peace talks between the U.S. and Iran are making limited progress as both countries have rejected each other’s latest proposals. Iran described the U.S. proposal as containing “excessive demands and unrealistic positions,” while the U.S. said Iran’s revised proposal was not a meaningful improvement and remained insufficient for a deal. With no major US economic data today and earnings in retail mostly better today, but guidance weighed on shares of Target (TGT) and Lowe’s (LOW), the attention remains firmly back on tech (XLK) and semis (SOX) after a small three day decline from record highs after a monstrous run in 2026 on Ai demand growth hopes.
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | -4.21 | 99.94 |
Brent | -2.17 | 109.11 |
Gold | -3.20 | 4,508.00 |
EUR/USD | 0.0005 | 1.1608 |
JPY/USD | -0.02 | 159.00 |
10-Year Note | -0.034 | 4.635% |
Sector Movers Today
Stock GAINERS
Stock LAGGARDS
Closing Recap
Wednesday, May 20, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | 645.47 | 1.31% | 50,009 |
S&P 500 | 79.28 | 1.08% | 7,432 |
Nasdaq | 399.65 | 1.54% | 26,270 |
Russell 2000 | 70.29 | 2.56% | 2,817 |
U.S. stocks closed at the highs in a strong showing, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished around 50K, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq recouped much of their losses the last 3 days amid a broad based rally led by Technology (XLK) Industrials (XLI) and Materials (XLB), three of the top S&P sectors of the year, and Consumer Discretionary (XLY +2.5% today), while Energy (XLE) was the big laggard, falling over -2.4% but remains the top gainer on the year (+33% YTD). Market enthusiasm ahead of Nvidia (NVDA) earnings tonight was clear, with chip stocks seeing big bounces after a rare recent slide, as the Philly semi SOX index rose around 4.5%. Oil prices tumbled over 5% and Treasury yields sunk after a 6-week run, also providing support for investors. Smallcaps were among the biggest beneficiaries today or the lower yields (IWM was up over 2.5%), along with housing stocks and mortgage related names after the 10-yr yield jumped 70 bps since the start of the Iran war. After tech digests the NVDA earnings results tonight, markets get the world largest retailer earnings tomorrow in Wal-Mart (WMT) and Industrial machinery giant Deere (DE) earnings as well.
It seemed nothing could dent todays excitement as minutes of the Federal Reserve's April meeting showed officials warned the Iran war could fuel inflation, boosting support for a possible rate hike, with most policymakers saying tightening may be needed if inflation remains above the 2% target. @Bluekurtic noted on X, “S&P 500 is now positive for the week and could mark its 8th straight weekly gain, only the 20th time since 1950. This kind of momentum has rarely been followed by large drawdowns. In all 19 prior cases, the next 3 month max drawdown stayed below 10%. Every single time.” Still just mid-week, but does NVDA keep the Bull rally alive?
President Donald Trump said that negotiations with Iran were in the final stages, while warning of further attacks unless Iran agrees to a deal, according to Reuters. "We're in the final stages of Iran. We'll see what happens. Either have a deal or we're going to do some things that are a little bit nasty, but hopefully that won't happen," Reuters quotes the President as having told reporters on Wednesday. "We're going to give this one shot. I'm in no hurry. Ideally I'd like to see few people killed, as opposed to a lot. We can do it either way," Trump is said to have added.
IPO fever really picking up with some of the most highly anticipated IPOs in history are potentially coming in the next few months, following the massive semi chip related Cerebras (CBRS) hot IPO last week that opened at $345 after pricing 30M shares at $185. The other day, SpaceX (SPCX) announced it picked Nasdaq as listing venue for its initial public offering (IPO) and its initial public offering could be as early as June 11, set to list shares on June 12. Then today, the WSJ reported ChatGPT-maker OpenAI has been working with Bankers to prepare to file for an initial public offering in the coming days or weeks. Bankers at firms including Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have been helping the artificial-intelligence giant on a draft IPO prospectus it plans to file confidentially with regulators soon, possibly as early as Friday.
Even hawkish Fed headlines couldn’t dent optimism today: FOMC Minutes showed Federal Reserve officials' concerns about inflation being stoked by the Iran war intensified last month, with a growing number of them saying the Central bank should lay the groundwork for a possible rate hike, a sign that incoming Chair Kevin Warsh will inherit an increasingly hawkish crew of Central Bankers. Moreover, a majority of Fed policymakers at their April 28-29 meeting said some policy tightening may be needed were inflation to continue running persistently above the Central bank's 2% target. Investors are now pricing in a 48.6% chance the Federal Reserve could raise rates in December, and an 89.6% chance it maintains current rates at its next meeting in June, according to CME's FedWatch tool.
Commodities, Currencies & Treasuries
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | -5.89 | 98.26 |
Brent | -6.26 | 105.02 |
Gold | 24.10 | 4,535.30 |
EUR/USD | 0.0029 | 1.1633 |
JPY/USD | -0.25 | 158.79 |
10-Year Note | -0.101 | 4.565% |
Sector News Breakdown
Consumer
Consumer Staples & Restaurants:
Homebuilders, Building Products, Home Furnishing:
Energy
Financials
Biotech & Pharma:
Healthcare Services & MedTech movers:
Industrials & Materials
Technology
Semiconductors:
Not offered or endorsed by Regal Securities
Street Recommendations
Wednesday, May 20, 2026
BARCLAYS
BOFA
BTIG
CITI
DEUTSCHE BANK
GOLDMAN SACHS
JEFFERIES
JPMORGAN
KEYBANC
MIZUHO
MORGAN STANLEY
NEEDHAM
NORTHLAND
OPPENHEIMER
PIPER SANDLER
RAYMOND JAMES
RBC CAPITAL
STEPHENS
STIFEL
SUSQUEHANNA
TD COWEN
UBS
WELLS FARGO
WILLIAM BLAIR
WOLFE RESEARCH
Rating abbreviations…
***OP = Outperform
***SP = Sector Perform
***UP = Underperform
***OW = Overweight
***EW = Equal-weight
***UW = Underweight
***Report powered by thefly.com***
What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar
Monday May 18th
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