Early Look
Wednesday, November 4, 2026
Futures | Up/Down | % | Last |
Dow | 829.00 | 1.60% | 52,724 |
S&P 500 | 68.25 | 1.17% | 7,685 |
Nasdaq | 270.50 | 0.96% | 28,576 |
U.S. futures are jumping, as Dow, Nasdaq and S&P futures rise around 1%, erasing sharp declines initially overnight as the Democratic party took back control of both the House and Senate in the midterm elections. The Blue wave occurred in commanding fashion, securing the Senate majority after winning races in historically red states including Texas, South Carolina, and Kansas. The party also took a massive lead in the House, flipping seats from Florida to New Jersey to Kentucky. The Democratic majority will take over in January, raising the odds of legislative gridlock and tougher corporate oversight. Divided government, of course, may also set the stage for political clashes that could be destabilizing to markets and the broader economy. The news sent havens higher as both Treasuries and precious metals are rising this morning while the dollar falls. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index declined -893 points to 62,188, the Shanghai Index rose 78 points to 3,686, and the Hang Seng Index gained 393 points to 23,919. In Europe, the German DAX is up nearly 400 points or 1.54% to 26,261, while the FTSE 100 rises 130 points to 10,768. In addition to the market reaction from the midterm elections, tech stocks, particularly semiconductors, got solid results from AMD and SMCI overnight to help lift the SOX index back above its 200dma. Another busy day of earnings on tap, along with ADP private payrolls data and ISM Services. Data centers stocks are under pressure after a Democrat (Gina Hinojosa) won the Texas governor's race after promising to halt new data center construction. Hinojosa has pledged to impose a moratorium on data center construction in Texas, which accounts for more than 25% of planned US capacity by 2030. The CBOE Volatility index (VIX) falls -12% to 18.25, after holding above 20 all of last night.
Market Closing Prices Yesterday
- The S&P 500 Index climbed 27.52 points, or 0.36%, to 7,568.92
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -197.26 points, or 0.38%, to 51,786.72
- The Nasdaq Composite gained 207.65 points, or 0.83%, to 25,372.01
- The Russell 2000 Index advanced 6.57 points, or 0.23% to 2,812.45
Economic Calendar for Today
- 7:00 AM ET MBA Mortgage Applications Data
- 8:15 AM ET ADP Private Payrolls for October…est. +69K (prior +90K)
- 8:30 AM ET Advance Goods Trade Balance for September…prior (-$134.9B)
- 8:30 AM ET International Trade for September…est. (-$108.0B) vs. prior (-$105.6B)
- 9:45 AM ET S&P Global Composite PMI, Oct-final…prior 57.6
- 9:45 AM ET S&P Global Services PMI, Oct-final… prior 57.9
- 10:00 AM ET ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI for October…est. 54.8
- 10:30 AM ET Weekly EIA Inventory Data
Earnings Calendar:
- Earnings Before the Open: ADNT ARCB ASIX ANTM AUDC AVA AVNT AVT BATRA BATRK BCO BCRX BEP BEPC BRKR BTU BUR CAMT CDW CIGI COR CRCL CRL CRTO CSTE CVE CVS CWK DDOG DIN EMR ESAB EXP FIS FLUT FRPT FTCI GBLI GERN GFS GOLF GWW HUT HVT HZO KD KHC KMT LAW LIVN MCD MDLN MFA MITT MLCO MLM MSC MSGE MTRN NATL NICE NNN NOMD NVO NYT OC OPCJ PFGC PMTS PODD PRGO Q QURE RAL REYN RIOT RPC RPRX SEDG SHLS SLQT SMG SMRT SN STIM SWK SWX TBLA TKR TREX TRMB UBER URGN UTHR UWMC VAC VET VPG VSH W WLK WLKP XPEL YOU ZBH
- Earnings After the Close: ACAD ACHC ACT ADPT AEVA AFL AGL AKA ALB ALGT ALL ALNT ALTO AMC AMCR AMH AMPL APA APC APP ARAY ARDT ATNI ATO AWR BBSI BIO BKH BROS BYND CAI CAPL CDE CDRE CF CGNX CHRD CHYM CLOV CODI COHR COOK COTY CPAY CPS CRK CRUS CW CXT CXW CYTK DASH DAVE DDD DHX DLX ECOR EE EGHT EHTH ELF EOLS ERII ES EW EXPE FC FICO FIG FSLY GNK GNL GNW GOLD GPOR GRAL GT GTM HCC HUBS INSG IPAR ITT JOBY KE KVYO LB LEU LILA LOPE LUMN LZ MAC MATX MBI MCK MELI MET MGNI MKSI MRVI MSI MTG MUR MWA MX MYGN NAVI NGVT NTGR MTR NVST NWSA OEC OM ORA PAAS PACB PAHC PAYC PCY PGNY PK PLMR POWI PRI PTC QCOM QGEN QNST RCUS RDN RELY RGLD RGR RLAY RPD RRGB RUN RVMD RYN SBGI SDGR SEI SEZL SITM SKT SNAP STAA STE TBI TDUP TKO TROX TS UHAL UIS UPLD UVV VCTR VECO VIAV VIR VSEC WES WOLF WTS WU XPER XRN Z ZG ZVIA
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
Nymex | -0.84 | 95.25 |
Brent | -1,32 | 102.28 |
Gold | 111.50 | 4,051.90 |
EUR/USD | 0.0058 | 1.1249 |
JPY/USD | -0.11 | 158.50 |
10-Year Note | -0.012 | 4.94% |
World News
- US President Trump said he will accept the election result and is prepared to work with Democrats, while stating that veto power is one of the strongest powers he has.
- Eurozone annual inflation accelerated to 4% in October, up from 3.8% in September, according to preliminary estimates. The increase was driven primarily by a sharp surge in energy prices amid continued fighting in the Middle East.
Sector News Breakdown
Consumer
- Avis Budget Group (CAR) Q3 EPS $5.15 vs est $8.55; revenue $3.4B vs. est. $3.421B; adj. EBITDA $513Mm vs. est. $557.1Mm.
- Booking Holdings (BKNG) Q3 adj EPS $4.66 vs. est. $4.50; Q3 revenue fell to $8.89B vs. est. $9.5B, including a $900 million reduction related to an FTC matter; Q3 gross bookings climbed 10% y/y to $54.5B, while room nights increased 7% to 345M; International travel trends softened toward the quarter’s end, while domestic travel remained resilient.
- Duolingo (DUOL) Q3 EPS $0.54 vs est $0.56 (miss); revenue $309Mm vs. est. $303.2Mm (beat); adj. EBITDA $78.7Mm vs est $75.8Mm (beat), margin 25.5%; bookings $316.1Mm; DAUs 64.9M; gross profit $225.1Mm, margin 72.9%; FCF $75.3Mm; expects FY26 bookings and revenue growth at high end of respective 10-12% and 15-18% targets.
- International Fragrances (IFF) Q3 adj EPS $0.83 vs. est. $0.80 and revs $1.942B vs. est. $1.90B; raises FY2026 sales outlook from $7.4B-$7.6B to $7.5B-$7.6B and vs $7.594B est; Sees FY26 adjusted operating EBITDA is now expected to be in the range of $1.55B-$1.60B.
Energy
- Parr Pacific (PARR) Q3 adj. EPS $10.70 vs. est. $6.30 (beat); revenue $3.052B vs. est. $2.189B (beat); adj. EBITDA $646Mm vs. est. $383.7Mm (beat), including $222Mm benefit from small refinery exemptions; refining adj. EBITDA $618Mm, adj. gross margin $752.4Mm, both including the $222Mm exemption benefit; refinery throughput 174 thousand bpd vs. 198 thousand bpd YoY, with Hawaii turnaround reducing volumes.
- SM Energy (SM) Q3 EPS $1.95 vs. consensus $1.97 as net income falls -40% y/y to $93M; Q3 revenue $2.16B vs. consensus $2.01B; Oil, gas, and NGL production revenue more than doubled year over year to $2.16B; net cash provided by operating activities more than doubled year over year to $1.12B; FY26 oil production guidance fell 1% to 220–222 MBbl/d, primarily due to Permian downtime and Uinta takeaway constraints.
Financials
- AIG Inc. (AIG) Q3 after tax EPS $2.06 vs. est. $1.89; Return on equity (ROE) of 8.5% and Core Operating ROE of 11.1%; Book value per share was $74.96, a decrease of 1% y/y and adj book value per share was $81.25, an increase of 5% y/y; Q3 General Insurance combined ratio of 91.3%, and Accident year combined ratio, ex-CAT of 88.4%; Q3 General Insurance net premiums written (NPW) of $6.7 billion, an increase of 7% y/y.
- Block Inc. (XYZ) Q3 adj. EPS $1.13 vs. est. $1.03 (beat); revenue $6.72B vs. est. $6.59B (beat); gross profit $3.24B; adj. EBITDA $1.2B vs. est. $1.192B (beat); Q4 adj. EPS outlook $1.15 vs. est. $1.15 (in line), gross profit $3.315B; raised FY26 profit outlook, adj. EPS $4.15 vs. est. $4.04 (above), gross profit $12.626B; FY27 gross profit outlook $14.519B, adj. operating Income $4.575B, up 30% YoY.
- Freshworks (FRSH) Q3 adj EPS $0.22 vs. est. $0.18 and revs $245.4M vs. est. $245M; guides Q4 revenue $253.5M-$254.5M and FY revs $965M-$966M.
- Huron Consulting (HURN) Q3 adj. EPS $2.62 vs. est. $2.47 (beat); revenue $491.451Mm vs. est. $481.386Mm (beat); operating Income $58.83Mm; raised FY26 adj. EPS outlook to $9.20-9.40 from $9.00-9.40 vs. est. $9.20 (in line at low end; midpoint above).
- Jack Henry Associates (JKHY) Q1 EPS $2.28 vs. est. $2.06 (beat); revenue $701.5Mm vs. est. $683.38Mm (beat); operating Income $207.1Mm, margin 29.5%.
- Prudential (PRU) Q3 adjusted EPS $3.77 vs. consensus $3.32; Book value per Common share of $84.88 versus $90.69 per share for the year-ago quarter; adjusted book value per Common share of $102.39 versus $99.25 per share for the year-ago quarter; Assets under management of $1.616 trillion versus $1.612 trillion for the year-ago quarter.
- Toast Inc. (TOST) EPS $0.29 vs est $0.25 (beat); revenue $1.981B vs. est. $1.973B; adj. EBITDA $240Mm vs est $220.62Mm; gross profit $543Mm; operating Income $165Mm; ARR $2.5B; Q4 adj. EBITDA outlook $200-210Mm vs est $204.66Mm; FY26 adj. EBITDA outlook $840-850Mm.
- Unum Group (UNM) Q3 adj. EPS $2.20 vs est $2.16 (beat); revenue $2.5475B vs. est. $2.962B (miss); adj. operating Income $349Mm vs est $498.35Mm (miss); book value/share $68.90.
Healthcare
- Amgen Inc. (AMGN) Q3 adj EPS $6.45 tops consensus $5.78 and revs rose 8% y/y to $10.4B vs. consensus $10.06B; raises FY26 adj EPS view to $22.90-$23.70 from $22.30-$23.50 and boosts FY26 revenue view to $38.9B-$39.7B from $38.2B-$39.4B (est. $38.97B); Sales of Repatha rose 37% for the quarter to $1.09B, slightly ahead of analysts' expectations of $1.04B; bone drug Evenity rose 39% to $751 million, beating analysts' estimates of $724M.
- Corcept Therapeutics (CORT) Q3 EPS $1.01 vs. est. $0.79 (beat); revenue $340.472Mm vs. est. $336.4Mm (beat); FY26 revenue outlook $1.1-1.2B vs. est. $1.146B (in line).
- CVS Corp. (CVS) confirms plan to split into two publicly traded companies, separating its ~9,000 retail pharmacies from Aetna & Caremark; raises FY26 adjusted EPS view to 'at least' $8.20 from $7.90-$8.10 after Q3 EPS and revs topped consensus.
- Omega Health (OHI) Q3 FFO/share $0.82 vs. est. $0.80 (beat); revenue $340.554Mm vs. est. $297.016Mm (beat); adj. FFO $262Mm; EPS $0.27; raised FY26 AFFO/share outlook to $3.28-3.30 from $3.22-3.26 vs. est. $3.26 (above); completed $182Mm of investments in Q3 and $946Mm since quarter-end, bringing YTD investments to approximately $1.5B.
- Smith & Nephew (SNN) cut its full-year revenue and profit forecast while also confirmed that talks about a potential merger with Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ) Orthopaedics unit have ended; the cut follows weaker-than-expected Q3 growth in its biggest orthopedics business.
- Ultragenyx Pharma (RARE) Q3 EPS ($1.16) vs. est. ($1.12) (miss); revenue $173Mm vs. est. $183.1Mm (miss); reaffirmed FY26 revenue $730-760Mm excluding new launches vs. est. $762.256Mm (below); cutting workforce approximately 20%; expects Q4 restructuring charges approximately $25Mm; terminating UX701; reaffirmed profitability in 2027.
Industrials and Materials
- 3M (MMM) board approves new $6B share repurchase authorization, declares quarterly dividend
- Defense stocks are among the most prominent losers this morning, as investors weigh the potential impact of Democrats' sweeping gains in the midterm elections. Shares in European contractors such as BAE Systems and Thales are all down, while U.S. defense companies RTX, Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman are among the biggest losers in premarket trading.
- Everus Construction (ECG) Q3 EPS $1.79 vs est $1.31; revenue $1.38B vs. est. $1.189B (beat); EBITDA $140.2Mm vs est $104.78Mm, margin 10.1%; operating Income $122.4Mm; gross profit $205Mm, margin 14.8%; raised FY26 revenue outlook to $5.0-5.1B from $4.5-4.7B vs. est. $4.6B (above); FY26 EBITDA outlook $485-495Mm vs est $421.73Mm (above).
- Grief Inc. (GEF) Q4 EPS $0.87 misses the consensus $1.16 and revs $1.14B vs. consensus $1.11B; said increased average selling prices contributed to net sales growth in Customized Polymer Solutions, Durable Metal Solutions, Sustainable Fiber Solutions and Innovative Closure Solutions segments; sees FY27 adjusted EBITDA at least $645M.
- GXO Logistics (GXO) Q3 adj EPS $0.89 vs. est. $0.86 and revenues rose 5.7% y/y to $3.59B vs. est. $3.54B; Year-to-date new business wins of more than $1 billion and a record sales pipeline of $3.1 billion, up more than 30% y/y; reaffirms FY26 guidance for organic rev growth and adj Ebitda.
- Modine Manufacturing (MOD) Q2 adj EPS $1.35 misses consensus $1.45 on revs $994.4M vs. est. $978.26M; said Q2 Data Centers and Commercial HVAC delivered strong quarters, with revenue growth of 95% and 23%, respectively; sees FY27 revenue $3.1B-$3.2B vs. consensus $3.54B and sees FY27 adjusted EBITDA $470M-$500M.
- Mosaic Company (MOS) Q3 adj EPS loss (-$0.19) vs. est. loss (-$0.02); Q3 revs $3.1B vs. est. $3.05B; Q4 sales volumes are expected to be in the range of 2.3 to 2.6M tonnes; sees year capex $1.2B and FY27 capex below $1B.
- Primoris Services (PRIM) Q3 adj. EPS $1.20 vs. est. $0.78 (beat); revenue $1.95B vs. est. $2B (miss); adj. EBITDA $134.4Mm vs. est. $94.7Mm (beat); FY26 adj. EPS outlook $2.10-2.25 vs. est. $2.16 (in line); adj. EBITDA outlook $290-310Mm vs est $277.34Mm (above).
Technology, Media & Telecom
- Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q3 adj EPS $2.09 vs. consensus $1.94; Q3 revenue $13.4B tops consensus $13.09B; Q3 Data Center revs $8.55B vs. est. $8.25B; said revenue exceeded the high end of our guidance as Data Center segment sales nearly doubled y/y; Q3 client and gaming segment, home to its PC chips and console processors, fell 8% to $3.72b vs. est. $3.79B.
- Arista Networks (ANET) Q3 adj EPS $1.20 tops consensus $1.08; Q3 revs $3.66B vs. est. $3.33B; sees Q4 adj EPS $1.26-$1.30 above consensus $1.15 and revs $3.9B-$4B also above consensus $3.6B while sees Q4 adjusted operating margin 48%-49%.
- Astera Labs (ALAB) Q3 adj. EPS $1.32 vs. est. $1.19 (beat); revenue $584.9Mm vs. est. $550.8Mm (beat); adj. operating Income $261.6Mm vs. est. $232.6Mm (beat); adj. gross margin 72.4%; Q4 adj. EPS outlook $1.62-1.66 vs. est. $1.42 (above), revenue $730-750Mm vs. est. $656.3Mm.
- Coupang Inc. (CPNG) Q3 EPS excluding Incheon fulfillment-center Fire costs ($0.18) vs est ($0.03) (miss); revenue $9.962B vs. est. $9.704B (beat), up 7% YoY and 11% constant currency; adj. EBITDA $116Mm, down 72% YoY vs est $126.82Mm (miss), margin 1.2%; gross profit excluding Fire costs $2.656B, margin 26.7%; Product Commerce revenue $8.374B, adj. EBITDA $385Mm, active customers 25.2M, up 2%; Developing Offerings revenue $1.588B, adj. EBITDA loss ($269M).
- Cipher Mining (CIFR) and CleanSpark (CLSK) shares fall both were downgraded to MP from Outperform at KBW this morning following Gina Hinojosa's win as Texas Governor as the firm now expects greater regulatory uncertainty to weigh on data center lease timing and the probability of reaching definitive agreements across the companies' Texas-heavy pipelines.
- Google (GOOGL) will invest $15 billion in Malaysia from 2027 to 2028 with the spending going towards data centre campuses, clean energy, bolstering water security and upskilling workers, the unit of Alphabet said on Wednesday.
- Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) Q3 adj. EPS ($0.03) vs. est. ($0.04) (beat); revenue $13.991Mm vs. est. $13.2Mm (beat); Q4 revenue outlook $15.5-16.5Mm vs. est. $14.74Mm (above); adj. gross margin outlook 40.5%.
- Ouster Inc. (OUST) Q3 EPS ($0.20) vs. est. ($0.25) (beat); revenue $59.325Mm vs. est. $56.3Mm (beat), up 50% YoY and 9% QoQ; adj. EBITDA loss ($3Mm); adj. gross margin 47%, flat YoY; operating loss ($19.26Mm); product revenue $56.032Mm, up 42% YoY, driven by industrial and Robotics demand; shipped over 27,000 sensors, approximately 27% lidar, with record Stereolabs camera shipments; Q4 revenue outlook $61-64Mm vs est $62.03Mm (brackets est).
- Procore Technologies (PCOR) Q3 adj. EPS $0.51 vs. est. $0.45 (beat); revenue $402.313Mm vs. est. $383.9Mm (beat); adj. gross margin 84%; Q4 revenue outlook $420-422Mm vs. est. $396.039Mm (above); raised FY26 revenue outlook to $1.557-1.559B from $1.489-1.494B vs. est. $1.514B.
- Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) Q4 adj. EPS $1.28 vs. est. $1.27 (beat); revenue $1.05B vs. est. $1.036B (beat); Q1 FY27 adj. EPS outlook $1.25 vs. est. $1.52, revenue $1.8-1.9B vs. est. $1.99B; targets annual cost synergies of at least $500Mm.
- Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Q1 EPS $1.81 tops consensus $1.23 and revs $19.9B above consensus $16.26B; sees Q2 EPS $1.66-$1.90, vs. consensus $1.14 on better revs $19.5B-$21.5B vs. consensus $17.51B and raises FY27 revenue view to $72.0B-$82.0B, consensus $70.27B.
- Chinese AI developers reportedly expect to receive just a small fraction of the advanced Nvidia (NVDA) chips they’ve ordered over the next several months, as the US tech giant struggles to boost production to meet soaring demand. Alibaba Group Holding (BABA), Tencent Holdings (TCEHY), ByteDance, and other Chinese AI and cloud firms have in total ordered about 6 million of Nvidia’s RTX Pro 5500 chips, according to Bloomberg