Early Look
Monday, March 30, 2026
Futures | Up/Down | % | Last |
Dow | 171.00 | 0.38% | 45,595 |
S&P 500 | 25.25 | 0.40% | 6,438 |
Nasdaq | 71.50 | 0.31% | 23,400 |
After trading lower most of last night, U.S. futures are looking at a higher open as the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow all try to snap their respective 5-week losing streaks (longest losing streaks since May ’22), on pace to end March much lower behind surging inflation fears as oil prices hit highest levels in over three years as the war with Iran drags on. @Barchart noted on X, Global CTAs dumped $190 Billion worth of stocks over the last month, the fastest pace of selling since Covid. Oil prices extended gains overnight with Brent headed for a record monthly rise, after Yemeni Houthis launched their first attacks on Israel over the weekend, widening the US-Israel war with Iran in the Middle East. West Texas Intermediate followed, gaining nearly 2% to trade just above the $100 mark. Trump told reporters on Air Force one on Sunday that Iran “gave” the US most of the 15 demands it issued to Tehran to end the war. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index tumbled -1,487 points to 51,885, the Shanghai Index rose 9 points to 3,923, and the Hang Seng Index declined -201 points to 24,750. In Europe, the German DAX is down -39 points to 22,261, while the FTSE 100 rises 53 points to 10,020. This week is a shorter trading week with Good Friday on Friday and markets closed, while all eyes remain fixated on the US and Iran war. On the data front, jobs are center stage with JOLTs job openings and consumer confidence Tuesday, ADP private payrolls, retail sales and ISM Manufacturing PMI on Wednesday, weekly jobless claims Thursday and then the Monthly nonfarm payrolls data on Friday.
U.S. markets ended Fridy near the lows with the Nasdaq falling over -2%, the S&P 500 down -1.65%, and the Dow tumbling with all three major averages posting a 5th straight week of losses heading into the last two trading days of the month next week. The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes ticked up and was last up 2.8 basis points at 4.444%. Yields had earlier reached as high as 4.482%, their highest since July. The S&P 500 down 9.2% from its January record high, approaching correction territory where the Nasdaq is already more than 10% off its recent record highs and both well below their respective 200dma supports. The Dow Jones industrial average ends down 10% from Feb 10 record high, confirms correction. For the week, the S&P 500 fell 2.12%, the Nasdaq declined 3.23%, and the Dow fell 0.9%. Oil remained the market’s anchor Friday, dragging down risk sentiment throughout the NY session as Iran and US/Israel strikes continued, reinforcing expectations of a prolonged conflict and keeping Brent above $110.
Few interesting stats: @KobeissiLetter noted on X, “The S&P 500 officially posts its lowest close in 232 days, erasing another -$1 trillion of market cap today. This brings total S&P 500 losses since the Iran War began to -$4.8 trillion.” The two-year U.S. Treasury yield is set for a monthly rise of roughly 50 basis points (bps), its largest since October 2024, although it retreated roughly 4 basis points in Asia to 3.8770%. The five-year U.S. Treasury yield was set for a monthly gain of roughly 51 bps, its largest since October 2024, while the 10-year yield was headed for a roughly 43 bps rise.
Market Closing Prices Yesterday
Economic Calendar for Today
Earnings Calendar:
Other Key Events:
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
Nymex | 2.13 | 101.77 |
Brent | 2.62 | 115.19 |
Gold | 35.70 | 4,560.00 |
EUR/USD | -0.0015 | 1.1492 |
JPY/USD | -0.75 | 159.57 |
10-Year Note | -0.041 | 4.403% |
World News
Sector News Breakdown
Consumer
Energy, Industrials and Materials
Financials
Healthcare
Technology, Media & Telecom
Mid-Morning Look
Monday, March 30, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | 227.49 | 0.50% | 45,394 |
S&P 500 | 13.69 | 0.21% | 6,382 |
Nasdaq | 4.59 | 0.02% | 20,952 |
Russell 2000 | -5.80 | 0.24% | 2,443 |
U.S. stocks were higher on the open, but just like the last few weeks, every pop has been met with selling pressure as stock markets pare gains as the war in Iran and concerns ahead of key jobs data later this week keep investors fearful. March has two trading days remaining (including today) and many S&P sectors have seen massive selling pressure on rising inflation concerns (and no rate cuts) given the surging price of oil, gasoline and other energy prices, while supply chain concerns remain given the lack of shipping thru the Strait of Hormuz. Healthcare (XLV) and Industrials (XLI) are on track for monthly declines of over -10% and over 8% declines this month for Communications (XLC), Consumer Staples (XLP) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) while Energy (XLE) is the only sector higher in March +13%. Precious metals (gold and silver) have tumbled this month, far from their 2026 all-time highs, while aluminum stocks and prices surge to 4-year highs. The Philadelphia Se Semiconductor index (SOX) hits near three-month low, last down 2.5% at 7,275. Not much positive news out of Iran this weekend with several. The dollar/yen (USD/JPY) touched an intraday high of 160.46, its highest level since Japan’s intervention in July 2024, before retreating following the verbal warnings from currency chief Mimura and BOJ Governor Ueda. No US economic data today ahead of a busy week of jobs data, while the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow are coming into the week with 5-week losing streaks and oil firmly above $100 a barrel. Treasury yields pull back with the 10-yr down -8.5bps to 4.355%
Among the top headlines this weekend related to Iran included: President Trump is weighing a military operation to extract nearly 1,000 pounds of uranium from Iran, according to U.S. officials, the WSJ reported. President Trump has signaled a potential seizure of Iran's Kharg Island to control oil exports, amid 10,000 troop deployments and surging prices. Trump claimed a "regime change" in Iran has led to more "reasonable" negotiations with new leadership. Despite ongoing military strikes, he expressed optimism for a deal, claiming Iran has agreed to allow 20 oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz starting tomorrow as a gesture of progress
This morning, President Trump said on Truth Social: "The United States of America is in serious discussions with A NEW, AND MORE REASONABLE, REGIME to end our Military Operations in Iran. Great progress has been made but, if for any reason a deal is not shortly reached, which it probably will be, and if the Hormuz Strait is not immediately “Open for Business,” we will conclude our lovely “stay” in Iran by blowing up and completely obliterating all of their Electric Generating Plants, Oil Wells and Kharg Island (and possibly all desalinization plants!), which we have purposefully not yet “touched.” This will be in retribution for our many soldiers, and others, that Iran has butchered and killed over the old Regime’s 47 year “Reign of Terror.” Thank you for your attention to this matter. President Donald J. Trump"
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | 2.68 | 102.32 |
Brent | 0.51 | 113.08 |
Gold | 26.30 | 4,550.60 |
EUR/USD | -0.0045 | 1.1461 |
JPY/USD | -0.72 | 159.55 |
10-Year Note | -0.086 | 4.356% |
Sector Movers Today
Stock GAINERS
Stock LAGGARDS
Closing Recap
Friday, March 27, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | -793.78 | 1.73% | 45,166 |
S&P 500 | -108.62 | 1.68% | 6,368 |
Nasdaq | -459.72 | 2.15% | 20,948 |
Russell 2000 | -43.63 | 1.75% | 2,449 |
US equity futures went green overnight following Trump’s extension of a pause on attacking Iranian energy facilities to April 6, but the celebration was short-lived. Iran’s revolutionary guard later stated the Strait of Hormuz is closed and any transit would face harsh measures. We’ve seen this movie before, and futures slid to red while oil popped. Later headlines indicated two Chinese container ships had been turned back after trying to exit the gulf via the Strait of Hormuz. Equities faded further and oil continued to climb. Sentiment, as measured by the Fear & Greed Index, held at 15/100 (Extreme Fear) versus last week’s 16 (Extreme Fear) and still well below last month’s 38 (Fear). Mid-morning breadth favored decliners by a bit more than 3:1 as small caps were mixed versus large caps with IWM (-1.23%) versus SPY (-0.98%) and QQQ (-1.36%). Energy (+1.35%), Utilities (+1.10%) and Consumer Staples (+1.02%) were early outperformers among S&P sector ETFs, while Financials (-1.32%), Technology (-1.56%) and Consumer Discretionary (-1.89%) led the underperformers with only three sectors gaining versus eight declining in a very similar start to yesterday morning.
In data of note, at least it’s no longer Thursday. Per @bespokeinvest, yesterday’s decline was the 9th consecutive drop on Thursday and tied the longest Thursday streak from 1998. Thursday has been the worst day of the week for the market this year, last year and over the past ten years. Separately, the S&P 100 ETF marking the largest of the large-cap stocks, has declined 8.2% ytd making it the largest decline of the major US index ETFs and putting large-caps into extreme oversold territory. Lastly, on rates, the Fed is no longer projected to cut rates until December 2027 and there is a 51% potential for a rate hike by March 2027.
Heading into the final hour of trading, equities continued to retreat while oil continued to hold big gains. More headlines out of Iran did nothing to calm the markets or give hope to quick resolution following earlier Israeli strikes. Any Iranian response to the recent US proposals also seems on hold for now. U.S. markets ended the day near the lows with the Nasdaq falling over -2% and the S&P 500 down -1.65%, and the Dow tumbling with all three major averages posting a 5th straight week of losses heading into the last two trading days of the month next week (longest losing streak since May 2022). The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes ticked up and was last up 2.8 basis points at 4.444%. Yields had earlier reached as high as 4.482%, their highest since July. The S&P 500 down 9.2% from its January record high, approaching correction territory where the Nasdaq is already more than 10% off its recent record highs and both well below their respective 200dma supports. The Dow Jones industrial average ends down 10% from Feb 10 record high, confirms correction. For the week, the S&P 500 fell 2.12%, the Nasdaq declined 3.23%, and the Dow fell 0.9%.
Economic Data
Commodities
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | 5.16 | 99.64 |
Brent | 4.56 | 112.57 |
Gold | 116.20 | 4,492.50 |
EUR/USD | -0.0011 | 1.1514 |
JPY/USD | 0.37 | 160.19 |
10-Year Note | 0.0024 | 4.44% |
Sector News Breakdown
Consumer
Autos:
Retail, Consumer Staples & Restaurants:
Leisure, Gaming & Lodging:
Energy
Financials
Banks, Brokers, Asset Managers:
Bitcoin, FinTech, Payments:
REITs:
Healthcare
Biotech & Pharma:
Industrials & Materials
Transports
Aerospace & Defense
Materials, Metals & Mining
Technology
Internet, Media & Telecom
Hardware & Software movers:
Semiconductors:
Not offered or endorsed by Regal Securities
Street Recommendations
Monday, March 30, 2026
BARCLAYS
BNP PARIBAS
BOFA
CITI
CITIZENS
COMPASS POINT
DEUTSCHE BANK
GLJ RESEARCH
GOLDMAN SACHS
GUGGENHEIM
JPMORGAN
KEEFE BRUYETTE
MIZUHO
MORGAN STANLEY
PIPER SANDLER
RAYMOND JAMES
SCOTIABANK
UBS
WELLS FARGO
Rating abbreviations…
***OP = Outperform
***SP = Sector Perform
***UP = Underperform
***OW = Overweight
***EW = Equal-weight
***UW = Underweight
***Report powered by thefly.com***
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Monday March 30th
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