Closing Recap
Tuesday, November 10, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | -156.43 | 0.30% | 52,233 |
S&P 500 | -28.82 | 0.38% | 7,521 |
Nasdaq | -87.26 | 0.74% | 25,065 |
Russell 2000 | -19.44 | 0.68% | 2,821 |
U.S. stocks gave back a small portion of the prior day gains, as a further pullback in shares of AI poster child NVDA (-5.53% today after -4.27% Monday) amid its ongoing CEO drama dragged shares near 52-week lows and took the AI supply chain lower in sympathy. Meanwhile, an increase in consumer prices (CPI) inflation in October pushed Treasury yields sharply higher, raising the prospect of potential aggressive rate hikes by the Fed at the December meeting. NVDA shares tumbled a second day after founder and CEO Jensen Huang announced his extramarital affair this weekend, which allegedly was with a possible spy for China, raising all sorts of concerns, and potentially putting the entire industry at risk due to NVDA’s close relationship with so many AI companies. The CEO's relationship with Alice Huang facilitated the shipment of at least $7.5 billion worth of the company's chips through Chinese firms, The Information reported.
Outside of the continued fallout from the NVDA scandal the last 2 days, Anthropic IPO day will be Thursday, November 19 after the company formally filed its updated S1 this morning. The IPO details showed they will sell ~825M in total shares during the upcoming offering, including ~800MM from the company itself and ~24MM from existing investors, for a total of ~$61B (vs. $70-78 indicated range). In addition, the company aims to take in an additional ~$26B by selling stock to cornerstone investors (such as AMD, Broadcom, Google, Nvidia, Micron, Microsoft, TSMC, etc.), which means the total raised would be ~$85-90B (the market had been assuming ~$90B, so this is approximately inline). Another story that didn’t get as much play was SoftBank Group disclosing a $3.7 billion charge tied to power equipment procurement, that weighed heavily on power names like BE, GEV and others. JP Morgan noted the news is a negative, as it marks a major Datacenter developer re-thinking its plans for power Equipment.
Higher Treasury yields also hurt markets: Along with technology weakness, the surge in yields really following the CPI data put a damper on interest rates sensitive stocks and asset classes as precious metal prices tumbled along with crypto assets as Bitcoin dropped over 2%. The 10-yr yield rose over 14 bps topping 5% while the shorter term 2-yr yield, which is more impacted to near term rate moves, rose over 20bps early after U.S. consumer prices increased more than expected in October, rising 0.4% from the previous month. Homebuilders such as DHI, KBH, MTH, PHM, LEN all tumbled as well as mortgage related companies as the sharply higher move in Treasury yields on CPI/rate hike fears hit interest rate sensitive sectors. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said today that the Fed may need to pick up the pace of interest-rate increases after a report showed inflation was firmer than expected in October.
Economic Data
- US headline CPI rose 0.4% in October, above the 0.3% forecast, while core CPI increased 0.3% versus 0.2% expected (both coming in above views). Food prices jumped 0.5%, energy rose 0.7%, and gasoline climbed 1.0% (though note energy prices have fallen sharply the last week). Housing costs increased 0.3%, while real earnings for private-sector workers were unchanged. The hotter-than-expected inflation report strengthens the case for further Fed rate hikes.
- NY Fed reported Q3 total household debt climbs $334B to $19.1 trillion, while Q3 mortgage debt climbs $257B to $13.4 trillion, overall Q3 delinquency rate climbed relative to Q2 and Q3 credit card debt climbs $22B to $1.3 trillion. Q3 overall flow into “serious” delinquency down from Q3 2025. Q3 share of student loans 90 days or more past due little changed at 10.9%
Commodities
- Oil prices keep sliding, having fallen since Election Day on expectations of reduced Middle East tensions and less risk of further military action. U.S. WTI crude oil futures settle at $86.04/bbl, down 81 cents, or 0.93%
- The U.S. gas price average finally fell below $4 today, according to AAA as the U.S. average gas price today $3.97; the lowest price since July 16 and the first time below $4 since July 19.
- @FreightWaves noted on X, “The benchmark diesel price used for most fuel surcharges fell 16.5 cents per gallon to $6.127, according to the Department of Energy/EIA average weekly retail price. It is the second straight weekly decline and the lowest level since Oct. 12.
- US crude production is expected to hit a record high for the fourth straight year in 2026, at 13.9 million barrels per day, the Energy Information Administration said on Tuesday. In 2025, output was 13.7 million bpd. US crude output is then set to rise again in 2027, to 14.3 million bpd.
- December gold tumbled -$84.30, or -2.05%, to settle at $4,030.20 an ounce while December silver declined -$1.47, or -2.79%, to finish the day at $51.23 an ounce, pressured by a bounce in the dollar and a spike in Treasury yields following the October CPI data.
Currencies & Treasuries
- The yield on the 10-year Treasury moves back above 5%, rising over 14 bps after hotter-than-expected inflation data. The Labor Department said that so-called core prices, excluding volatile food and energy costs, rose 0.3% in October from the previous month. That was higher than the 0.2% increase anticipated by economists. The report came hours after Federal Reserve Christopher Waller said that could support a larger-than-normal 50bps interest-rate increase in December if Tuesday's data showed core prices rising 0.3% or more. Yields had already jumped after those remarks--especially yields on short-term Treasurys, which are particularly sensitive to changes in rates set by the Fed.
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | -0.81 | 86.04 |
Brent | -1.08 | 91.49 |
Gold | -84.30 | 4,030.20 |
EUR/USD | -0.0061 | 1.1162 |
JPY/USD | 0.88 | 158.78 |
10-Year Note | 0.117 | 4.981% |
Sector News Breakdown
Retail, Consumer Staples & Restaurants:
- Apparel & Footwear retail: ONON beat on the top and bottom line for Q3, but shares fell as quarterly sales growth slowed while direct-to-consumer and Asia-Pacific sales grew less than expected during the quarter. The shoe company did reaffirm annual sales forecast, but expects net sales growth to accelerate in the fourth quarter, helped by holiday campaigns.
- Auto sector: TM raised its annual profit forecast by 20% as now sees full-year operating profit forecast to 780 billion yen ($4.94 billion) from 650 billion yen, as it expected robust demand for hybrid vehicles and a boost from a weaker yen to help offset slumping sales in China. Operating profit for the July-to-September quarter fell 39% from a year earlier to 118 billion yen, well below the 250 billion yen median forecast.
- Lodging & Leisure: online travel stocks have benefited from a roll in oil over the past week, but shares of BKNG, EXPE, ABNB, TRIP rolled slightly this afternoon after a report in The Information said OpenAI acquires Ai Travel Agent Odessia. The news was confirmed by Odessia CEO saying in a post on X, formerly Twitter, "I'm thrilled to announce that Odessia was acquired by OpenAI, and that I will be joining the team to focus on the future of travel.
Energy
- Oil refiners extending recent pullback after soaring to record highs in September. Shares of VLO, PSX, PBF, MPC, DK, DINO all declined, having pulled back from their mid-October peaks in line with a decline in crack spreads from Extreme levels. The 3-2-1 crack spread (a proxy for refining margins using 2 Parts gasoline + 1 part diesel vs. 3 Parts crude) peaked near $75/bbl in mid-to-late September 2026, while as of November 10, 2026, it is around $44/bbl (down roughly 30%+ from the recent high).
Financials
- Private credit/Asset managers: CG was downgraded to Neutral at UBS as its confidence in their growth profile and path to its 2028 financial objectives has diminished. Carlyle's 2028 framework calls for $2.8B+ of management fees, $3.7B+ of fee-related revenues, $1.9B+ of FRE and $6+ of DE/share, incl. a 15%+ FRE CAGR. UBS sees the risk/reward as balanced.
- Insurance sector: GSHD reported prelim Q3 results instead of full due to pending restatements due to a SEC comment letter. Both total revenue and the bottom line result were better than we expected, but core revenues grew less quickly than hoped driven (in part) as bigger than expected price policy price declines in Texas were offset less than hoped by improving customer retention
Biotech & Pharma:
- BEAM said its CRISPR-based treatment for sickle cell disease achieved the primary goal of a pivotal clinical trial — freedom from severe pain crises for at least 12 months. No detailed data were disclosed, but Beam said it would file an FDA marketing application for the therapy.
- HIMS reported mixed Q3 results, in which revs and adj. EBITDA came in below consensus as a pullback in marketing spend, as well as a deferral of weight loss revenues proved to be the culprit of the weaker than expected quarter for HIMS, translating into a seq. decline in subscriber count.
- JNJ announced that a second late-stage pivotal trial for its atypical antipsychotic Caplyta met its primary and key secondary endpoints in adults with manic episodes associated with bipolar I disorder. The once-daily therapy is already approved in the U.S. for adults with bipolar I or II disorder and major depressive disorder as monotherapy or as adjunctive therapy.
- PEPG announces positive phase 2 FREEDOM2-DM1 10 mg/kg results demonstrating highest reported splicing correction and improvements across multiple functional measures.
- SRPT was upgraded to Hold from Sell at Deutsche Bank and raise tgt to $18 from $14 after Q3 results saying they are more confident that a large downside move in the shares over the next term is unlikely. Sarepta's setup into 2027 "looks decent" on potential for improved fundamentals.
Industrials & Materials
- Power sector: shares of GEV and BE were among names under pressure following the earlier report that Softbank Group disclosed a $3.7B charge tied to power Equipment procurement, that weighed heavily on power names. JP Morgan noted the news is a negative, as it marks a major Datacenter developer Re-thinking its plans for power equipment. UBS noted GEV was under pressure after Softbank took a $3.7B write-down on data center Equipment, with the market extrapolating that news to potential Turbine cancellations.
- Industrial sector: AAON reported 3Q26 adj. EPS of $0.83, ahead of $0.56 consensus, driven by significantly higher sales (up ~+84% y/y) and margins (GPM of 26.7%), particularly in ACP. Although BASX backlog again declined q/q (down ~-5%; albeit up ~+51% y/y); GFL shares fell after the Canadian waste management firm said it rejected buyout proposals and will stay public. The Board is unanimous in its conviction that GFL's standalone growth plans offer far superior risk-adjusted returns for shareholders," the chair of the board’s special committee, said.
- Aerospace sector: aircraft parts maker TDG reported a Q4 top and bottom line beat ($12.44/$2.99B in revs vs. est. $12.32/$2.95B), but forecasts FY27 adjusted EPS of $47.09-$47.94, which was below the Street est of $49.17, but better sales of $11.95B-$12.15B vs. est. $11.8B. RKLB reported record Q3 revs of $268M (up 73% Y/Y), beating ests $258M, while GAAP EPS loss of ($0.12) was wider than ests at (-$0.07), partly reflecting a $27M loss on debt extinguishment. GAAP operating cash flow turned positive at $7.2M, and backlog hit a record $3.57B (52% Q/Q).
- Satellite sector: VSAT said it has been awarded an indefinite delivery/indefinite quantity contract with a ceiling of $450M by the U.S. Space Force's Space Systems Command. ASTS reported revenue of $42.3M, up 34% sequentially and an EBITDA loss of -$91.2M versus 79.5M estimate.
Materials, Metals & Mining
- Metals & Mining sector: Aluminium prices fell to their lowest in more than two weeks as rising exports from top producer China and hopes of de-escalation in the Middle East eased supply concerns, offsetting support from tight inventories. China's customs data showed that the country's exports of aluminium and aluminium products rose 18% to 5.9 million tons in the first 10 months of 2026. In copper, SCCO was upgraded from Sell to Neutral at UBS with $180 PT noting shares are down ~20% over the last month pressured by the broader Ai sell off; this is broadly in line with copper peers (COPX) while the copper price is down only 4%.
AI and Data Centers
- Anthropic's (ANT) IPO is set to raise as much as $64.4 billion, according to the latest draft prospectus seen by Reuters and trade late next week. The company will also raise $26 billion via a separate private placement deal with cornerstone investors GOOGL, NVDA, AMD, AVGO, MU, MSFT, and TSM around $26B from them), the Anthropic share offering will raise a total of up to $90.4 billion. The US company and some of its investors plan to sell shares in the IPO in an indicative price band of between $70 and $78 per share, the prospectus showed. Anthropic sees IPO of 825M Class A common stock. Lastly, the company says their Run-Rate Revenue was approximately $81B as of October 31, 2026, up $10B from September 30, 2026.
- SoftBank (SFTBY) swung to a $7B net loss in July-September, missing every analyst forecast. The loss included a $3.7B charge on advance payments for power equipment after it revised procurement plans for its US AI data centers. Financing costs also more than doubled, while SoftBank raised $5B in September by expanding a margin loan backed by its Arm shares. The 1.1 trillion yen ($7 billion) second-quarter net loss far exceeded analysts' forecasts and compares with a 2.5 trillion yen profit in the same period a year earlier.
- Nscale, a British cloud provider backed by chip giant Nvidia, is considering delaying a $35 billion stock market listing, the Telegraph reported on Tuesday. Executives at the data centre developer are assessing whether to pause efforts to go public until next year, the report added.
- HIVE reported a $78.7M quarterly net loss, as mining revenue fell 7.4% to $76M. Its Ai Computing revenue rose 70.7% to $8.8M, with contracted GPU Cloud annualized revenue reaching $185M.
- MARA Q3 EPS $1.28 vs. est. ($0.10) (beat), driven by an $885.3Mm unrealized Bitcoin mark-to-market gain vs. $343.1Mm Y/Y; revenue $164.2Mm vs. est. $176.1Mm (miss), down 34.9% Y/Y, as a 37% drop in the average price of Bitcoin mined reduced revenue $94.8Mm.
- RIOT was upgraded from Hold to Buy and raise tgt to $28 from $13 saying on its own, with no value after the lease ends, Corsicana is worth about $16 per share at a 10% discount rate. That is close to the ~$17 share price, before counting Rockdale or AMD. Catalysts are credit support at Rockdale, the Corsicana financing in 2027, and first Rent in September 2027.
Hardware & Software movers:
- MSFT shares fell after reports Anthropic (ANT) is bringing its Claude AI assistant to Google Meet (GOOGL) through a new feature called Claude Meetings, which will join video calls, follow discussions and generate work in real time, including plans and timelines.
- EMS Sector: SANM shares jumped on earnings results as the manufacturing solutions firm posted Q4 EPS $4.43, easily topping consensus est of $3.27 and revs of $3.86B topped ests $3.48B saying results reflected broad-based demand, benefits from ZT Systems integration that bolstered SANM's cloud and AI infrastructure business; sees FY27 EPS $15.50-$17.50, above est of $14.07.
- Security software sector: QLYS posted top and bottom line beats for Q3 as well as adj. EBITDA $89.9Mm and adj. operating Income $87.1Mm above views; QLYS raised its FY26 guidance across the board but was overshadowed by the significant slowdown in Q4 billings q/q.
- Optical sector active after reports that MSFT is urging the Trump administration to abandon plans to ban Chinese optical transceivers, warning that supply disruptions could severely delay US AI infrastructure projects, Reuters reports. Microsoft currently has 35 US data centers under construction and another 134 planned, while China controls roughly 67% of the global optical transceiver market. COHR, LITE lack the production scale to replace Chinese suppliers.
- Quantum sector: big day for earnings as three companies out with results: 1) QMCO rises as Q2 revs rose 42.9% y/y to $89.63M vs. est. $82.3M; said strong secondary-storage demand, including major Scalar i7 Raptor and ActiveScale orders, helped lift revenue and backlog to nearly $100M; 2) QUBT shares dipped after Q3 EPS loss ($0.07) misses est. ($0.05), while revenue $9.5Mm vs. est. $7.21Mm (beat), compared with $0.384Mm Y/Y and $9.2Mm for H1 FY26; 3) QBTS posted a slight Q3 rev beat of $4.51M vs. est. $4.33M.
- Software sector: ZETA delivered 29.7% organic ex-political revenue growth, with free cash flow up 73.0% y/y, outpacing total revenue growth, and raised full-year guidance across revenue, adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow, and earnings per share. TTWO reported Q2 bookings slightly below the low end of guidance and both ours/consensus estimates, as a softer NBA 2K27 launch offset GTA outperformance. FY27 bookings guidance was reiterated, however, management noted that GTA VI preorders are tracking "far in excess" of initial expectations. APPS shares tumbled a quarterly revenue of 178.7M and Adjusted EBITDA of $39.8M both easily beat the Street, and management raised the fiscal 2027 revenue guide by $20M at both ends, yet left Adj EBITDA guidance exactly where it sat last quarter, at $145M to $155M.
Media & Semiconductors:
- NVDA shares fell further after President Trump said last night that the FBI is investigating CEO Jensen Huang's affair with a suspected Chinese spy. Wells Fargo acknowledged the "key man" risk that the Huang ordeal poses to Nvidia, given the CEO's importance to the company.
- Semi equipment sector: ENTG authorizes $500M share repurchase authorization, 10% dividend increase, and provides long term outlook at CMD; ONTO beat revenue and guidance expectations, with strong growth amid accelerating WFE demand supporting expectations for continued market outperformance through 2028 and significant gross and operating margin expansion; posted Q3 adj. EPS $2.44 vs. est. $2.30 (beat); record revenue $409.7Mm vs. est. $392Mm (beat).
- Ad Tech sector: results for both TTD and PUBM solid but shares fell as results potentially skewed by political spending; PUBM 3Q revenue +17% y/y vs. 2Q +11%, but included ~6 points of political spend, with guide 1% above Street, +15% y/y, a 2% deceleration on a 2-year basis; TTD reported better Q3 results/Q4 guide, partially driven by one-time benefit and stronger political spending
- Media sector: SKYD reported Q3 results and said it plans to slash at least $6 billion in annual costs following its combination of Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery; Q3 revs rose 5% y/y to $7.03B vs. est. $7.04B and TV Media revenue slid 7% due to a decline in advertising sales; Q3 direct-to-consumer revenue rose 11% in the quarter, reflecting 6% subscriber growth.
- Internet sector: WIX was double downgraded to Underperform from Buy at Bank America and lowers revenue growth to 12% from 14%, and lower EBITDA margin to 15% from 18% citing core deceleration, especially in the Partners segment.