Early Look
Monday, August 31, 2026
Futures | Up/Down | % | Last |
Dow | -95.00 | 0.18% | 53,489 |
S&P 500 | -13.25 | 0.17% | 7,708 |
Nasdaq | -37.50 | 0.13% | 29,454 |
U.S. stock futures are trading lower to kick off the trading week as tensions resumed in the Middle East after U.S. forces struck two Iranian launchers on Larak Island near the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices higher. Renewed conflict adds geopolitical risk for energy markets, particularly given Kharg Island's role in Iran's oil infrastructure, as Brent tops $91 per barrel, but Treasury yields unchanged with the 10-year holding high at 4.92%. A quiet weekend overall for stock news heading into the final trading week of the summer and before the Labor Day holiday weekend coming up. The big stock story this weekend was in California where shares of major California electric utilities fall (PCG, EIX, SRE) as California legislature amends Senate Bill 492, which addresses wildfire risk reduction and recovery, preserving insurers' ability to recover wildfire-related claim. In other news, President Trump said the U.S. will use Venezuelan crude to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which has fallen to its lowest level in more than four decades. Trump said the process would begin shortly and could affect U.S. oil inventories and energy-market expectations as investors monitor changes in Venezuela policy.
The S&P 500 fell on Friday, but still notched a winning week, after Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh conveyed some worry over current inflation trends. The broad market index lost 0.3% on Friday, while the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.5%, weighed down by losses in semiconductor stocks and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was marginally lower. For the week, the S&P 500 rose 0.47%, QQQ finishes +0.42%and the Dow +0.53%,while IWM the underperformer down 1.4% on the week. The market's dominant catalyst was FOMC Chair Kevin Warsh as his speech Friday pushed September hike pricing sharply higher and drove a broad repricing across rates, FX and risk assets.
In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -93 points to 66,311, the Shanghai Index rose 34 points to 3,986, and the Hang Seng Index dipped -17 points to 25,566. In Europe, the German DAX is down -231 points to 26,338, while the FTSE 100 is closed for Holiday. The dollar/yen briefly broke above 160, putting further yen weakness firmly on the radar for Japanese authorities. Japan already spent a record $96.4B defending the yen over the past month, yet the currency has given back more than half of its gains from that intervention.
Market Closing Prices Yesterday
Economic Calendar for Today
Earnings Calendar:
Other Key Events:
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
Nymex | 3.15 | 86.55 |
Brent | 3.23 | 91.33 |
Gold | -29.20 | 4,500.70 |
EUR/USD | 0.0015 | 1.1599 |
JPY/USD | -0.29 | 159.75 |
10-Year Note | +0.001 | 4.72% |
World News
Sector News Breakdown
Consumer
Energy, Industrials and Materials
Financials
Healthcare
Technology, Media & Telecom
Mid-Morning Look
Monday, August 31, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | -413.70 | 0.77% | 53,144 |
S&P 500 | -44.78 | 0.58% | 7,666 |
Nasdaq | -148.15 | 0.56% | 26,254 |
Russell 2000 | -23.40 | 0.79% | 2,948 |
U.S. stock markets are pulling back to start the final trading week of the summer, as another surge in oil prices along with another bounce in Treasury yields is raising concerns on Wall Street after Iran and the United States traded attacks for the first time in over a month overnight. Iran fired missiles toward US military targets in Jordan and the United Arab Emirates in retaliation for a strike on Iranian rocket launchers that the US said were trying to launch sea mines into the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices rose more than 2% on Monday while Treasury yields are higher again on the long end as the 10-yr rises 3.8bps to 4.764% and the 30-yr yield +5.97% to 5.267% which is weighing on dividend paying sectors and Smallcap stocks (IWM). After tumbling -2.88% on Friday, gold prices are down another -1.3% to $4,470 an ounce after FOMC Chair Warsh hawkish comments on rates last week weighs on metals/stocks.
Coming into the final trading week of the summer ahead of the Labor Day weekend, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 2.1% month-to-date, putting the index on track for its fifth consecutive monthly advance. The S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq Composite are headed for their first one-month increases since May, up about 3% and 4%, respectively. Technology (XLK) has led the charge this month, with artificial intelligence-linked stocks outperforming, up nearly 6% for the month. Materials (XLB), Healthcare (XLV) and Energy (XLE) are both up over 5% this month, while Utilities (XLU) -3.6% and Industrials (XLI) -1.5%.
The market is getting more confident that the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates on Sept. 16, even if Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh didn’t quite say as much in his Jackson Hole speech Friday. His policy of no forward guidance made the hints he does offer even more enticing for market watchers. The odds crept as high as 62% to start the week, up from 57% on Friday, according to CME’s FedWatch tool. Now attention turns to jobs data this week with nonfarm payrolls, ADP private payrolls and JOLTs.
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | 2.30 | 85.70 |
Brent | 2.46 | 90.56 |
Gold | -55.80 | 4,474.10 |
EUR/USD | 0.0018 | 1.1602 |
JPY/USD | -0.26 | 159.78 |
10-Year Note | 0.038 | 4.764% |
Sector Movers Today
Stock GAINERS
Stock LAGGARDS
Closing Recap
Monday, August 31, 2026
Index | Up/Down | % | Last |
DJ Industrials | -373.67 | 0.70% | 53,186 |
S&P 500 | -25.38 | 0.33% | 7,686 |
Nasdaq | -31.53 | 0.12% | 26,370 |
Russell 2000 | -15.93 | 0.54% | 2,956 |
Lots of market chop today to start the trading week as low volumes/quiet news ahead of the Labor Day holiday weekend kept markets in check, finishing lower but near the best levels of the day. It was a very tight range all afternoon ahead of some key economic data this week including nonfarm payrolls and ADP private payrolls, though most S&P sectors ended lower amid a rebound in oil prices and Treasury yields following the hawkish comments by Fed Chair Warsh at last week’s Jackson Hole Symposium. Oil prices haven’t slowed down as tensions in the Middle East keep spiking with the U.S. and Iran exchanging strikes for the first time in a month, while Iran said a tanker was hit by mines in the Strait of Hormuz. Market drama plus climbing inflation is a strong formula for a rate hike from the Fed, could it be September?
Coming into the final trading day of the month (and ahead of the Labor Day weekend), the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 2.1% month-to-date, putting the index on track for its fifth consecutive monthly advance. The S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq Composite are headed for their first one-month increases since May, up about 3% and 4%, respectively. Technology (XLK) has led the charge this month, with artificial intelligence-linked stocks outperforming, up nearly 6% for the month. Materials (XLB), Healthcare (XLV) and Energy (XLE) are both up over 5% this month, while Utilities (XLU) -3.6% and Industrials (XLI) -1.5%.
Stats of the day: @Bluekurtic noted on X, “Next week is a 4-day trading week with markets closed Monday for Labor Day. Fun stat: the S&P 500 has fallen on the first trading day of Labor Day week for 9 straight years since 2017. Longest such losing streak since 1950. In 2026, that day is Tuesday, Sept. 8.”; 2) @Bluekurtic also note don X, “ The S&P 500 has now gone 900+ days without a 20% bear market drawdown. If the AI era rhymes with the dot-com boom, we may not even be a third of the way through this streak. In the 1990s, the index went 3,102 days without a 20% drawdown.”
September is gearing up to be a monumental month for U.S. equity markets (SPY) (VOO), with $9.6T in options exposure set to expire between now and Sept. 18. This fast-approaching wave represents roughly 35% of all total U.S. options exposure, according to a recent note from Scott Rubner of Citadel Securities. The impending quarterly expiration alone will account for $6.2T, or 23% of total exposure, and is tracking to surpass June's record $7.7T triple-witching event. The vast majority of the expiration is heavily concentrated in SPX AM options, which total $4.0T. This massive roll-off creates a potential reset for the broader market's technical backdrop, Rubner warned. https://tinyurl.com/2p9kdsvw
Economic Data
Commodities, Treasuries
Macro | Up/Down | Last |
WTI Crude | 2.36 | 85.76 |
Brent | 2.46 | 90.56 |
Gold | -48.40 | 4,481.50 |
EUR/USD | 0.0032 | 1.1616 |
JPY/USD | -0.37 | 159.67 |
10-Year Note | 0.034 | 4.756% |
Sector News Breakdown
Retail, Consumer Staples & Restaurants:
Energy
Financials
Biotech & Pharma:
Industrials & Materials
Technology
Not offered or endorsed by Regal Securities
Street Recommendations
Monday, August 31, 2026
ARGUS
BARCLAYS
BERNSTEIN
BOFA
BTIG
CITI
EVERCORE ISI
GUGGENHEIM
KEEFE BRUYETTE
KEYBANC
MIZUHO
MORGAN STANLEY
NEEDHAM
TD COWEN
TRUIST
UBS
WELLS FARGO
Rating abbreviations…
***OP = Outperform
***SP = Sector Perform
***UP = Underperform
***OW = Overweight
***EW = Equal-weight
***UW = Underweight
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What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar
Monday August 31st
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Tuesday September 1st
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Wednesday September 2nd
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Thursday September 3rd
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Friday September 4th
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